Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Argentina	17:15	Disney+
Armenia	00:15	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	07:15	Stan Sport
Austria	21:15	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	21:15	Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:15	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:15	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	22:15	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:15	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	17:15	Disney+
China	04:15	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	15:15	Disney+
Croatia	21:15	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:15	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:15	CANAL+ Sport 7, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	21:15	Amazon Prime Video
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	22:15	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:15	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	21:15	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 7, WOW
Greece	22:15	Nova Sports Prime
Hong Kong	04:15	M Plus Live
Hungary	21:15	Arena 4
Iceland	20:15	SÝN Sport 2
India	01:45	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	03:15	Vidio
Iran	23:45	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	20:15	NOW
Israel	22:15	Sport 3
Italy	21:15	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	05:15	U-NEXT
Kenya	23:15	Gotv
Malaysia	04:15	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	01:15	Medianet
Mexico	14:15	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Myanmar	02:45	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	02:00	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	21:15	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
New Zealand	09:15	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5
Nigeria	21:15	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 2
North Macedonia	21:15	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:15	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	01:15	ARY ZAP
Peru	15:15	Disney+
Poland	21:15	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	20:15	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:15	Voyo
Serbia	21:15	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	04:15	Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	21:15	Voyo
Slovenia	21:15	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	22:15	SuperSport Variety 3
South Korea	05:15	Coupang Play
Spain	21:15	DAZN Espana
Sweden	21:15	Amazon Prime Video
Switzerland	21:15	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:15	AIS PLAY
Turkey	23:15	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:15	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:15	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	17:15	Disney+
Usa	15:15	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, USA Network
Venezuela	16:15	Disney+
Vietnam	03:15	FPT Play
International	20:15	Sport 24 At Sea


	Burnley		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	5	3.9	1.67
	4.4	3.9	1.75
	5.05	3.95	1.7
	5.22	4	1.7	Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.67
	5.33	3.96	1.74	Watch
	5	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (3.84)	3.92 ↓ (4.1)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
19.2%

Draw
24.4%

Manchester United
56.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.8%

23.2%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

22.8%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burnley's form might have worsened.

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.4%	5.4%	89.2%

Burnley - Manchester United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Man Utd (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Burnley (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (65 of 73 users predict this - 89.04%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.87% – 96.21%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (34 of 35 users predict this - 97.14%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 38 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 1 - 2.6%). Man Utd (votes: 36 - 94.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dubravka M. (G) 29. Laurent J. 5. Esteve M. 12. Humphreys B. 2. Walker K. (C) 8. Ugochukwu L. 16. Florentino 23. Lucas Pires 10. Edwards M. 28. Mejbri H. 27. Broja A.	31. Lammens S. (G) 2. Dalot D. 26. Heaven A. 6. Martinez Li. 23. Shaw L. 25. Ugarte M. 18. Casemiro 13. Dorgu P. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 10. Cunha M. 30. Sesko B.
Substitutes
11. Anthony J. 35. Barnes A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 18. Ekdal H. 9. Foster L. 3. Hartman Q. 22. Sonne O. 17. Tchaouna L. 13. Weiss M. (G)	1. Bayindir A. (G) 38. Fletcher J. 61. Lacey S. 5. Maguire H. 37. Mainoo K. 12. Malacia T. 7. Mount M. 15. Yoro L. 11. Zirkzee J.
Coaches
Parker S.	Fletcher D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Heaven A. (Own goal),
41', Mejbri H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Sesko B. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
58', Mejbri H. ↓, Anthony J. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Sesko B. ⚽, Dorgu P. (A),
61', Fernandes B. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
61', Heaven A. ↓, Yoro L. ↑,
66', 2 - 2, Anthony J. ⚽, Edwards M. (A),
74', Cunha M. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
74', Casemiro ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
76', Broja A. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
84', Ugarte M. ↓, Lacey S. ↑,
89', Parker S. 🟨,
90+2', Edwards M. ↓, Sonne O. ↑,
90+5', Foster L. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 0.

Burnley is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Man Utd has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Burnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Man Utd is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Flemming Z. (Knock) Foster L. (International duty) Mejbri H. (International duty) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tuanzebe A. (International duty) Worrall J. (Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Diallo A. (International duty) Maguire H. (Hamstring Injury) Mazraoui N. (International duty) Mbeumo B. (International duty) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Esteve M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Mainoo K. (Calf Injury) Mount M. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:29. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Manchester Utd	8	1	4	3	10:13	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English Premier League
03.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Burnley - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Burnley - Everton	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Bournemouth - Burnley	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Burnley - Fulham	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLTTL
- Manchester United
English Premier League
04.01.26	Leeds United - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Manchester United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Manchester United - Newcastle United	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Aston Villa - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
15.12.25	Manchester United - Bournemouth	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
30.08.25	Manchester United - Burnley	3:2
27.04.24	Manchester United - Burnley	1:1
23.09.23	Burnley - Manchester United	0:1
English League Cup
21.12.22	Manchester United - Burnley	2:0
English Premier League
08.02.22	Burnley - Manchester United	1:1
30.12.21	Manchester United - Burnley	3:1
18.04.21	Manchester United - Burnley	3:1

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