Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Burnley		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	2
	3.6	3.5	2.05
	3.75	3.35	2.1
	4.05	3.4	2.08
	3.99	3.47	2.03	Watch
	3.7	3.25	2
	4.04	3.48	2.08	Watch
	4	3.33	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↓ (3.92)	3.4 ↓ (3.74)	2.04 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
24.7%

Draw
28.3%

Tottenham Hotspur
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

25.7%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

25.7%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.1%	13.2%	71.7%

Burnley - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 8 - 15.4%). Tottenham will win (votes: 37 - 71.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tottenham: 58.9% – 83.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Burnley (1.76) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 10 - 90.9%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Tottenham (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Tottenham (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Burnley (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tottenham Hotspur will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 7 - 20.6%). Tottenham (votes: 25 - 73.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dubravka M. (G) 6. Tuanzebe A. 5. Esteve M. 12. Humphreys B. 2. Walker K. (C) 8. Ugochukwu L. 16. Florentino 23. Lucas Pires 10. Edwards M. 11. Anthony J. 27. Broja A.	1. Vicario G. (G) 4. Danso K. 17. Romero C. (C) 37. van de Ven M. 23. Porro P. 8. Bissouma Y. 22. Gallagher C. 24. Spence D. 7. Simons X. 28. Odobert W. 19. Solanke D.
Substitutes
35. Barnes A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 18. Ekdal H. 9. Foster L. 29. Laurent J. 28. Mejbri H. 22. Sonne O. 17. Tchaouna L. 13. Weiss M. (G)	67. Byfield J. 3. Dragusin R. 14. Gray A. 31. Kinsky A. (G) 39. Kolo Muani R. 44. Scarlett D. 11. Tel M. 13. Udogie D. 68. Williams-Barnett L.
Coaches
Parker S.	Frank T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, van de Ven M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Tuanzebe A. ⚽, Walker K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Porro P. ↓, Udogie D. ↑,
69', Broja A. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
69', Florentino ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Foster L. ⚽,
78', Bissouma Y. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
78', Danso K. ↓, Tel M. ↑,
79', Laurent J. 🟨,
85', Edwards M. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
85', Gallagher C. ↓, Scarlett D. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Romero C. ⚽, Odobert W. (A),
90+5', Romero C. ↓, Dragusin R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 0.

Burnley has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tottenham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tottenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tottenham has had a series of home games.

Tottenham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Tottenham: Bentancur R. (Muscle Injury) Bergvall L. (Ankle Injury) Davies B. (Ankle Injury) Kudus M. (Muscle Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Richarlison (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Flemming Z. (Knock) Worrall J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Palhinha J. (Knock)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:39. (average 0.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.7:1.5).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Tottenham: 0.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2:8	-6	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English Premier League
17.01.26	Liverpool - Burnley	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Burnley - Millwall	5:1 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Burnley - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Burnley - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWTLL
- Tottenham Hotspur
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Borussia Dortmund	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
17.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - West Ham United	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
16.08.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Burnley	3:0
11.05.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Burnley	2:1
English FA Cup
05.01.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Burnley	1:0
English Premier League
02.09.23	Burnley - Tottenham Hotspur	2:5
15.05.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Burnley	1:0
23.02.22	Burnley - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0
English League Cup
27.10.21	Burnley - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1

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