Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 12

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Referee: Padovani Andrade D. J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Sampaio Corrêa		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	2.85	2.65
	2.6	2.85	2.75
	2.73	2.93	2.88
	2.65	2.81	2.82
	2.5	2.88	2.62
	2.57	2.88	2.7	Watch
	2.6	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.55)	2.86 ↓ (2.95)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
35.1%

Draw
31.7%

Ferroviária
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

30.8%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

31.9%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Sampaio Corrêa - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alan (G) 3. Betao 4. Fabio Aguiar (C) 10. Gabriel Silva 5. Gazao 7. Mauricio Maranhao 20. Nadson Mesquita 11. Pimentinha 2. Rafael Luiz 9. Renan Gorne 6. Thiago Rosa	1. Saulo (C) 9. de Moura C. 3. Gustavo Medina 6. Igor Fernandes 4. Jackson 10. Juninho 2. Lucas Rodrigues 5. Ricardinho 11. Victor Andrade 8. Xavier 7. Ze Mateus
Substitutes
21. Breno Almeida 32. Carlos Eduardo (G) 19. Dimas 8. Escuro 14. Itambe 15. Jhonata Varela 18. Joao Felipe 23. Lucas Lopes 16. Marcelinho 13. Onwudiwe F. 22. Thallyson 17. Thiaguinho	16. Caua A. 19. Denilson Goulart 23. Edson Lucas 21. Fernando 12. Leo Wall (G) 20. Luis Henrique 13. Maycon 17. Pablo 15. Paulinho Santos 14. Ronaldo Alves 22. Weverton
Coaches
Ze Augusto	Vinicius Bergantin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
32', Rafael Luiz 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Victor Andrade ⚽,
45', Nadson Mesquita 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, de Moura C. (Pen),
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gabriel Silva ↓, Joao Felipe ↑,
53', Victor Andrade 🟨,
55', Ze Mateus 🟨,
57', Gazao ↓, Jhonata Varela ↑,
57', Nadson Mesquita ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
60', Rafael Luiz 🟨,
63', Igor Fernandes 🟨,
65', Ze Mateus ↓, Caua A. ↑,
65', Igor Fernandes ↓, Edson Lucas ↑,
66', Joao Felipe 🟨,
71', Juninho ↓, Denilson Goulart ↑,
75', Betao 🟨,
78', Fabio Aguiar ↓, Breno Almeida ↑,
78', Renan Gorne ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
81', de Moura C. ↓, Fernando ↑,
81', Victor Andrade ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Sampaio Corrêa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ferroviária is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie C
29.06.24	Volta Redonda - Sampaio Corrêa	2:2 ✺
26.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Athletic Club	3:1 ✺
18.06.24	São Bernardo - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
15.06.24	Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
12.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Caxias	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 TWTWW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
30.06.24	Ferroviária - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
26.06.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
16.06.24	Caxias - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
08.06.24	Ferroviária - Aparecidense	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Tombense - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTTT

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