Match Info

Serie B - Round 33

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Sampdoria		Empoli

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.2	Watch
	2.32	3	3.15	Watch
	2.52	3.05	3.37
	2.36	3.13	3.12	Watch
	2.4	3	2.9
	2.58	3.03	2.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.25)	3.04 ↓ (3.18)	3.12 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
38.8%

Draw
31%

Empoli
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.4%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.2%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	29.4%	23.5%

Sampdoria - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Empoli will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Martinelli T. (G) 29. Di Pardo A. 28. Abildgaard O. 2. Viti M. 21. Giordano S. 33. Conti F. 94. Esposito Sa. 77. Pierini N. 11. Begic T. 72. Barak A. 9. Coda M. (C)	21. Fulignati A. (G) 26. Candela A. 20. Lovato M. (C) 34. Guarino G. 27. Moruzzi B. 18. Ghion A. 14. Yepes G. 8. Magnino L. 11. Shpendi S. 70. Saporiti E. 19. Nasti M.
Substitutes
34. Casalino T. 10. Cherubini L. 7. Cicconi M. 98. Coucke G. (G) 23. Depaoli F. 25. Ferrari A. 4. Ferri J. 1. Ghidotti S. (G) 13. Palma M. 8. Ricci M. 5. Riccio A. 92. Soleri E.	99. Bianchi F. 15. Ceesay J. 2. Curto M. 24. Ebuehi T. 17. Fila D. 32. Haas N. 25. Ignacchiti L. 10. Ilie R. 28. Indragoli G. 5. Obaretin N. 1. Perisan S. (G) 77. Popov B.
Coaches
Lombardo A.	Caserta F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Pierini N. ⚽,
60', Nasti M. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
60', Saporiti E. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
66', Barak A. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
74', Magnino L. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
74', Ghion A. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
76', Begic T. 🟨,
80', Moruzzi B. 🟨,
82', Begic T. ↓, Cicconi M. ↑,
83', Coda M. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
83', Di Pardo A. ↓, Palma M. ↑,
86', Candela A. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
87', Haas N. 🟨,
90', Soleri E. 🟨,
90+3', Pierini N. ↓, Depaoli F. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Abildgaard O. (Inactive) Brunori M. (Yellow Cards) Venuti L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Empoli: Degli Innocenti D. (Yellow Cards) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sampdoria won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 0.9:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Empoli	6	2	0	4	6:10	-4	6
17	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
22.03.26	Sampdoria - Avellino	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Carrarese - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sampdoria - Venezia	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Frosinone - Sampdoria	3:0 ✺
04.03.26	Juve Stabia - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTLT
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
22.03.26	Empoli - Pescara	4:2 ✺
17.03.26	Spezia - Empoli	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Empoli - Mantova	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Catanzaro - Empoli	3:2 ✺
04.03.26	Bari - Empoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.10.25	Empoli - Sampdoria	1:1
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Empoli - Sampdoria	0:2
Italian Serie A
15.05.23	Sampdoria - Empoli	1:1
16.01.23	Empoli - Sampdoria	1:0
19.02.22	Sampdoria - Empoli	2:0
19.09.21	Empoli - Sampdoria	0:3
12.05.19	Sampdoria - Empoli	1:2

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