Match Info

Serie B - Round 29

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)

Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Catanzaro		Empoli

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.1
	2.18	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.26	3.32	3.47
	2.18	3.39	3.23	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.2	3.24	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	3.21 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
42.5%

Draw
28.4%

Empoli
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.5%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

26.6%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catanzaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Empoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Catanzaro - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Empoli will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Empoli (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Catanzaro (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Empoli (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 4. Matias Antonini 23. Brighenti N. 27. Favasuli C. 10. Petriccione J. 20. Pontisso S. 77. D'Alessandro M. 14. Liberali M. 8. Pittarello F. 9. Iemmello P. (C)	21. Fulignati A. (C) 15. Ceesay J. 34. Guarino G. 5. Obaretin N. 2. Curto M. 8. Magnino L. 14. Yepes G. 70. Saporiti E. 7. Elia S. 10. Ilie R. 19. Nasti M.
Substitutes
30. Alesi G. 5. Bashi E. 98. Buglio D. 2. Esteves G. 6. Fellipe Jack 62. Frosinini R. 39. Koffi N. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 21. Pompetti M. 32. Rispoli F. 26. Verrengia B.	99. Bianchi F. 26. Candela A. 24. Ebuehi T. 17. Fila D. 12. Gasparini M. (G) 32. Haas N. 25. Ignacchiti L. 28. Indragoli G. 1. Perisan S. (G) 4. Romagnoli S.
Coaches
Aquilani A.	Dionisi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Elia S. ⚽, Curto M. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Nasti M. ⚽, Magnino L. (A),
17', Yepes G. 🟨,
24', Magnino L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Alesi G. ↑,
46', Yepes G. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
46', Elia S. ↓, Candela A. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Pittarello F. ⚽,
58', Ilie R. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Pittarello F. ⚽, Iemmello P. (A),
66', Saporiti E. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
72', Liberali M. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Cassandro T. ⚽, Pittarello F. (A),
84', Curto M. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
84', Pontisso S. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
84', Iemmello P. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
86', Matias Antonini 🟨,
90+1', Pittarello F. ↓, Koffi N. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Catanzaro is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Empoli has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Catanzaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Catanzaro might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A. (Injury) Di Francesco F. (Inactive) Oudin R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Empoli: Ghion A. (Inactive) Lovato M. (Red Card) Pellegri P. (Injury) Popov B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Catanzaro: Verrengia B. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Empoli	6	2	0	4	6:10	-4	6
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3

Last Results with these Odds

Empoli - the odds 3.71 are the expected chance of winning is 25.02%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
04.03.26	Carrarese - Catanzaro	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Catanzaro - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Virtus Entella - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Catanzaro - Mantova	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Pescara - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTWWW
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
04.03.26	Bari - Empoli	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Empoli - Cesena	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Frosinone - Empoli	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Empoli - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Empoli - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.11.25	Empoli - Catanzaro	1:0
Coppa Italia
10.08.24	Empoli - Catanzaro	4:1

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