The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Lorenzo 30.7%
Draw 33.4%
Vélez Sársfield 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
34.4%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
35.2%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
50%
37.5%
San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Vélez will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 55. Montenegro L. 24. Tripichio N. (C) 8. Insaurralde M. 10. Gulli F. 6. De Ritis M. 9. Cuello A. 11. Reali M. 29. Auzmendi R.
12. Montero A. (G) 4. Garcia J. 2. Mammana E. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. (C) 50. Andrada T. 8. Robertone L. 11. Pellegrini M. 10. Valdes D. 22. Lanzini M. 23. Monzon F.
Substitutes
26. Abrego G. 28. Barrios N. 16. Corujo G. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 18. Herazo D. 44. Hernandez M. 14. Ladstatter A. 34. Lopez F. 21. Perruzzi F. 17. Rodriguez G. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T. 19. Vietto L.
29. Aliendro R. 35. Arias M. 5. Baeza C. 49. Dominguez D. 15. Godoy D. 1. Marchiori T. (G) 47. Pereyra A. 14. Pineiro R. 6. Quiros A. 9. Romero B. 32. Silvero T. 17. Veron A.
Coaches
Alvarez G.
Barros Schelotto G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Magallan L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Gulli F. 🟨,
64', Gulli F. ↓, Perruzzi F. ↑,
64', Cuello A. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
66', Montenegro L. 🟨,
71', Magallan L. ↓, Quiros A. ↑,
74', Reali M. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
79', Lanzini M. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
79', Monzon F. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
85', De Ritis M. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
85', Auzmendi R. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 1.
San Lorenzo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Vélez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Vélez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N.
(Knee Injury)
Cardillo M.
(Inactive)
Cerutti E.
(Knee Injury)
Cordoba A.
(Muscle Injury)
Hernandez G.
(Knee Injury)
Herrera D.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Vélez: Gordon J.
(Knee Injury)
Machuca I.
(Suspended)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.2:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
San Lorenzo - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.51%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Italy
Portugal
Switzerland
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Gill O. (G) 
Herrera E. 
Romana J. 
De Ritis M. 
Valdes D. 
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