Match Info

J1 League - Round 11

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima (Hiroshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan
World	Onefootball


	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.36	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.92	8.6
	1.39	4.84	7.82	Watch
	1.36	4.5	7.5
	1.41	4.55	8.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.46)	4.68 ↑ (4.61)	8.02 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68.2%

Draw
20.1%

V-Varen Nagasaki
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

20.5%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

20%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. (C) 13. Arai N. 6. Kawabe H. 14. Matsumoto T. 24. Higashi S. 11. Kato M. 30. Arslan T. 10. Suzuki A.	13. Hatano G. (G) 50. Shindo R. 29. Arai I. 48. Teruyama H. 22. Onaga H. 5. Yamaguchi H. (C) 21. Diego Pituca 23. Yoneda S. 41. Hasegawa M. 8. Iwasaki Y. 9. Thiago
Substitutes
25. Chajima Y. 9. Germain R. 17. Kinoshita K. 41. Maeda N. 35. Nakajima Y. 39. Nakamura S. 15. Nakano S. 99. Ouchi I. (G) 3. Yamasaki T.	11. Campbell N. 4. Dudu Giusti 1. Goto M. (G) 33. Kasayanagi T. 10. Matheus Jesus 34. Matsumoto T. 3. Sekiguchi M. 24. Yamada R. 18. Yamasaki R.
Coaches
Gaul B.	Takagi T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Suzuki A. ⚽,
29', Diego Pituca 🟨,
30', Teruyama H. ↓, Dudu Giusti ↑,
38', Thiago 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Kato M. ⚽,
61', Higashi S. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
61', Arslan T. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
66', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Campbell N. ↑,
66', Onaga H. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
75', Hasegawa M. ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
75', Thiago ↓, Matheus Jesus ↑,
75', Suzuki A. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
75', Kato M. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
87', Kawabe H. ↓, Yamasaki T. ↑,
90+2', Diego Pituca 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place))

Hiroshima is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, V-Varen Nagasaki has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hiroshima is the clear favorite.

There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 10.48% V-Varen Nagasaki: 0.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	2	0	8:2	6	8
18	V-Varen Nagasaki	4	1	0	3	4:9	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League
11.04.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 penalties ✺
05.04.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
27.03.26	Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:1 ✺
18.03.26	Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J1 League
11.04.26	Avispa Fukuoka - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.02.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:3
11.08.18	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:0
28.04.18	V-Varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2

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