Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 34

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Santa Clara		Leiria

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.9	7
	1.37	4.2	7
	1.4	4.5	7.5
	1.4	4.62	8.6
	1.4	4.62	7.86
	1.36	4.2	7
	1.39	4.43	7.36
	1.41	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)	4.31 ↑ (3.86)	7.42 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
66.2%

Draw
21.4%

Leiria
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

24%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.2%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Clara's performance.

Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Clara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Santa Clara - Leiria Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Leiria will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (C) 4. Pacheco P. 13. Rocha L. 5. Rafael Santos 2. Diogo Calila 8. Ferreira P. 20. Adriano Firmino 32. MT 19. Almeida B. 30. Safira 70. Vinicius Lopes	1. Kieszek P. (G) 6. Baixinho M. 4. Bura (C) 72. Oliveira V. 22. Valdir 42. D'Avilla D. 16. Cuca 11. Silva J. 7. Antunes L. 23. Brenner 8. Arsenio
Substitutes
18. Ageu E. 74. Diaz M. (G) 49. Gabriel Silva 16. Henrique P. 77. Klismahn G. 99. Rafael Martins 10. Ricardinho 21. Semedo Y. 6. Velazquez S.	90. Ayongo P. 9. Fernandes R. 29. Ferreira F. (G) 2. Ferreira T. 15. Kaka 3. Lystsov V. 21. Silva L. 88. Silva M. 24. Zie Ouattara
Coaches
Matos V.	Candido F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Diogo Calila 🟨,
33', Rocha L. 🟨,
35', Bura 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rafael Santos ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
60', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Ferreira P. ⚽,
64', Silva L. 🟨,
65', Brenner ↓, Ayongo P. ↑,
65', D'Avilla D. ↓, Silva M. ↑,
75', Antunes L. ↓, Fernandes R. ↑,
75', Valdir ↓, Zie Ouattara ↑,
77', MT ↓, Klismahn G. ↑,
77', Safira ↓, Henrique P. ↑,
79', Arsenio ↓, Silva L. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Almeida B. ⚽, Gabriel Silva (A),
81', Almeida B. 🟨,
89', Gabriel Batista ↓, Diaz M. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 11).

Santa Clara is Qualified for Liga Portugal

Santa Clara is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Leiria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Santa Clara is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Santa Clara to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Portuguese Liga 2
12.05.24	Mafra - Santa Clara	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Santa Clara - Belenenses	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Porto B - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Santa Clara - Tondela	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Marítimo - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTWT
- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 2
13.05.24	Leiria - Académico de Viseu	3:0 ✺
04.05.24	Feirense - Leiria	1:0 ✺
25.04.24	Leiria - Penafiel	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Torreense - Leiria	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Leiria - Vilaverdense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
14.01.24	Leiria - Santa Clara	0:1
Taça de Portugal
16.10.21	Leiria - Santa Clara	0:2

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