Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 31 May 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Puskás Aréna (Budapest) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Belgium	21:00	Canvas, RTBF
Brazil	16:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action, Max Sport 3
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Denmark	21:00	TV2
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	21:00	RTL
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport Football, Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Netherlands	21:00	ESPN
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	TV6, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Turkey	22:00	TV8 Turkey
United Kingdom	20:00	BT Sport


	Sevilla		Roma

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.75
	2.95	2.8	2.75
	3.1	2.85	2.85
	3	2.8	2.9
	3.04	2.88	2.85
	2.75	2.75	2.5
	3.14	2.95	2.91	Watch
	3	2.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.69)	2.84 ↓ (3.04)	2.79 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
31.9%

Draw
33.8%

Roma
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.7%

31.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

34.7%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.8%	54.5%	23.8%

Sevilla - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 101 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 22 - 21.8%). Roma will win (votes: 24 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 55 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.8% – 64.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bono (G) 16. Navas J. (C) 44. Bade L. 6. Gudelj N. 3. Telles A. 20. Fernando 10. Rakitic I. 55. Ocampos L. 21. Torres O. 25. Gil B. 15. En Nesyri Y.	1. Patricio R. (G) 23. Mancini G. 6. Smalling C. 3. Roger Ibanez 19. Celik Z. 4. Cristante B. 8. Matic N. 37. Spinazzola L. 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 21. Dybala P. 9. Abraham T.
Substitutes
43. Bueno M. 1. Dmitrovic M. (G) 31. Flores A. (G) 8. Jordan J. 17. Lamela E. 23. Marcao 12. Mir R. 2. Montiel G. 14. Nianzou T. 24. Papu Gomez 4. Rekik K. 7. Suso	11. Belotti A. 63. Boer P. (G) 52. Bove E. 20. Camara M. 92. El Shaarawy S. 2. Karsdorp R. 14. Llorente D. 99. Svilar M. (G) 68. Tahirovic B. 62. Volpato C. 25. Wijnaldum G. 59. Zalewski N.
Coaches
Mendilibar J. L.	Mourinho J.

Preview

Neutral location - Pusk

Sevilla has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, already of final, a chance of win league (49%).

Roma has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, already of final, a good chance of win league (51%).

This event has big quality 72, very big importance 100, big match rating 86. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Roma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Sevilla: Acuna M. (Red Card) Corona J. (Inactive) Gueye P. (Inactive)

There will not play in Roma: Kumbulla M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Dybala P. (Ankle Injury) Karsdorp R. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
27.05.23	Sevilla - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
24.05.23	Elche - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
21.05.23	Sevilla - Betis	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.05.23	Sevilla - Juventus	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
14.05.23	Valladolid - Sevilla	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTWW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
27.05.23	Fiorentina - Roma	2:1 ✺
22.05.23	Roma - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.05.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Roma	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.05.23	Bologna - Roma	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.05.23	Roma - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.07.21	Roma - Sevilla	0:0
UEFA Europa League
06.08.20	Sevilla - Roma	2:0
Club Friendly
10.08.17	Sevilla - Roma	2:1
14.08.15	Roma - Sevilla	6:4

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