Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2024, Thursday

Location: BayArena (Leverkusen)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Belgium	VOOsport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
Germany	RTL
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Malaysia	Astro
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Bayer Leverkusen		Roma

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.5
	1.52	4.5	5.75
	1.55	4.6	5.45
	1.56	4.59	5.8
	1.56	4.58	5.79
	1.5	4.5	5.8
	1.57	4.73	5.96
	1.57	4.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.53)	4.55 ↑ (4.17)	5.68 ↓ (6.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
62%

Draw
21.1%

Roma
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

22.9%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	7.1%	12.9%

Bayer Leverkusen - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (64 of 80 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.23% – 88.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Kovar M. (G) 30. Frimpong J. 12. Tapsoba E. 4. Tah J. (C) 3. Hincapie P. 34. Xhaka G. 25. Palacios E. 21. Adli A. 7. Hofmann J. 20. Grimaldo A. 23. Hlozek A.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 37. Spinazzola L. 5. Ndicka E. 69. Angelino 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 16. Paredes L. 4. Cristante B. 17. Azmoun S. 90. Lukaku R. 92. El Shaarawy S.
Substitutes
8. Andrich R. 13. Arthur 22. Boniface V. 1. Hradecky L. (G) 9. Iglesias B. 6. Kossounou O. 36. Lomb N. (G) 32. Puerta G. 14. Schick P. 2. Stanisic J. 19. Tella N. 10. Wirtz F.	9. Abraham T. 22. Aouar H. 35. Baldanzi T. 52. Bove E. 19. Celik Z. 21. Dybala P. 2. Karsdorp R. 14. Llorente D. 1. Patricio R. (G) 20. Sanches R. 6. Smalling C. 59. Zalewski N.
Coaches
Alonso X.	De Rossi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Mancini G. 🟨,
20', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
21', Pellegrini Lo. 🟨,
21', Spinazzola L. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
27', Paredes L. 🟨,
29', Zalewski N. 🟨,
42', Tah J. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Paredes L. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
66', 0 - 2, Paredes L. (Pen),
72', Azmoun S. ↓, Bove E. ↑,
74', Hlozek A. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
81', Angelino ↓, Smalling C. ↑,
81', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
81', Hofmann J. ↓, Wirtz F. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Mancini G. (Own goal), Grimaldo A. (A),
90', Wirtz F. 🟨,
90', Frimpong J. ↓, Stanisic J. ↑,
90', Grimaldo A. ↓, Kossounou O. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 2, Stanisic J. ⚽, Xhaka G. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Bayer is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Roma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bayer have a series of guest games.

In this match Bayer is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayer won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
05.05.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	1:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.05.24	Roma - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
27.04.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	2:2 ✺
21.04.24	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.04.24	West Ham United - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTTT
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
05.05.24	Roma - Juventus	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.05.24	Roma - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.04.24	Napoli - Roma	2:2 ✺
25.04.24	Udinese - Roma	1:2 ✺
22.04.24	Roma - Bologna	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
02.05.24	Roma - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2
18.05.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Roma	0:0
11.05.23	Roma - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0
UEFA Champions League
04.11.15	Roma - Bayer Leverkusen	3:2
20.10.15	Bayer Leverkusen - Roma	4:4

Upcoming Matches