Match Info

FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Bramall Lane (Sheffield)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sheffield United		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.25
	1.41	4	5.25
	1.44	4.7	6.9
	1.46	4.67	6.6	Watch
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.49	4.88	6.43	Watch
	1.45	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	4.58 ↑ (4.55)	6.2 ↑ (6.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield United
64.7%

Draw
20.3%

Mansfield Town
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

20.5%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

21.9%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	12.5%	6.2%

Sheffield United - Mansfield Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sheff Utd (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sheffield United will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Davies A. (G) 12. Hoever K. 25. McGuinness M. 15. Mee B. 14. Burrows H. 24. Chong T. 4. Arblaster O. (C) 18. Soumare D. 8. Hamer G. 23. Campbell T. 9. Ings D.	1. Roberts L. (G) 23. Oshilaja A. 5. Sweeney R. (C) 6. Cargill B. 7. Akins L. 25. Reed L. 15. McDonnell J. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 11. Evans W. 18. Oates R.
Substitutes
45. Bamford P. 6. Bindon T. 11. Brooks A. 7. Cannon T. 22. Davies T. 31. Faxon L. (G) 3. McCallum S. 44. Riedewald J. 38. Seriki F.	19. Adeboyejo V. 27. Bolton L. 14. Dwyer D. 4. Hewitt E. 44. Irow O. 8. Lewis A. 12. Mason O. (G) 3. McLaughlin S. 13. Russell J.
Coaches
Wilder C.	Clough N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Reed L. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Hamer G. ⚽, Soumare D. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Reed L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 1 - 3, Akins L. ⚽, Oates R. (A),
54', Soumare D. 🟨,
56', Ings D. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
57', Hoever K. ↓, Seriki F. ↑,
57', Chong T. ↓, Brooks A. ↑,
57', 1 - 4, Oates R. ⚽, Blake-Tracy F. (A),
61', 2 - 4, Bamford P. ⚽, McGuinness M. (A),
65', 3 - 4, Moriah-Welsh N. (Own goal),
70', Soumare D. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
73', Campbell T. 🟨,
76', McDonnell J. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
76', Moriah-Welsh N. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
76', Oates R. ↓, Adeboyejo V. ↑,
84', Arblaster O. ↓, Riedewald J. ↑,
84', Evans W. ↓, McLaughlin S. ↑,
88', Lewis A. 🟨,
89', Oshilaja A. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Sheff Utd has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mansfield is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sheff Utd is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sheff Utd won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Sheffield Utd: 0.51%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield United
English League Championship
01.01.26	Sheffield United - Leicester City	3:1 ✺
29.12.25	Stoke City - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Wrexham - Sheffield United	5:3 ✺
20.12.25	Sheffield United - Birmingham City	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	West Bromwich Albion - Sheffield United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWL
- Mansfield Town
English League One
01.01.26	Mansfield Town - Bradford City	3:0 ✺
29.12.25	Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Barnsley - Mansfield Town	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Mansfield Town - Stockport County	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	AFC Wimbledon - Mansfield Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.07.18	Mansfield Town - Sheffield United	0:0
English League Cup
13.08.14	Sheffield United - Mansfield Town	2:1
Club Friendly
20.07.13	Mansfield Town - Sheffield United	0:1

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