The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sochi 30.7%
Draw 26.6%
Orenburg 42.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
29.2%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
28.3%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sochi's form might have worsened.
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orenburg's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sochi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orenburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Sochi - Orenburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Orenburg will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Sochi (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Degtev A. (G) 82. Volkov S. 33. Marcelo Alves 4. Litvinov V. 27. Zaika K. (C) 14. Kravtsov K. 16. Mukhin M. 28. Magal R. 29. Ezhov R. 98. Iljin V. 8. Ignatov M.
1. Ovsyannikov B. (G) 65. Ivashchenko I. 6. Palacios J. 4. Khotulev D. 18. Moufi F. (C) 37. Du Queiroz 57. Bolotov E. 32. Cantero A. 16. Thompson J. 30. Guzina G. 7. Gurluk E.
Substitutes
25. Attiyat Allah Y. 59. Bart R. 99. Dyupin Y. (G) 9. Fedorov Z. 23. Furtado G. 45. Kamano F. 18. Korneev A. 19. Kovalenko A. 11. Meleshin P. 85. Silev D. (G) 20. Vasiljev D. 7. Zinkovskiy A.
19. Alexandre Jesus 59. Avanesyan T. 29. El Mahraoui A. 27. Golybin R. 38. Kasimov A. 33. Kvekveskiri I. 2. Poroykov S. 8. Puebla D. 88. Rudakov M. (G) 9. Savelyev M. 26. Tsenov E. 3. Vedernikov D.
Coaches
Osinkin I.
Akhmetzyanov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Kravtsov K. ⚽,
32', Ezhov R. ↓, Zinkovskiy A. ↑,
33', 2 - 0, Kravtsov K. ⚽, Magal R. (A),
39', Volkov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ivashchenko I. ↓, Golybin R. ↑,
46', Gurluk E. ↓, Puebla D. ↑,
59', Zaika K. 🟨,
64', Guzina G. ↓, Alexandre Jesus ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Kravtsov K. ⚽, Iljin V. (A),
69', 3 - 1, Alexandre Jesus ⚽, Thompson J. (A),
72', Bolotov E. ↓, Kvekveskiri I. ↑,
78', Ignatov M. ↓, Vasiljev D. ↑,
82', Thompson J. ↓, El Mahraoui A. ↑,
90+2', Iljin V. ↓, Meleshin P. ↑,
90+2', Mukhin M. ↓, Korneev A. ↑,
90+2', Kravtsov K. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
90+5', Degtev A. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Orenburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).
Asia
Croatia
Russia
Watch
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Degtev A. (G) 
Marcelo Alves 
Palacios J. 
Moufi F. (C) 
Cantero A. 
Thompson J. 
Guzina G. 
Gurluk E. 
Kamano F. 
Avanesyan T. 
Puebla D. 
Tsenov E. 
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