Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, TNT
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	06:00	Optus Sport
Austria	20:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	20:00	Play Sports 1
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:00	Nova Sport
Canada	14:00	fubo Sports Network 2 DRM
Chile	16:00	Disney+
China	03:00	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	20:00	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	20:00	CANAL+ Action
Denmark	20:00	Amazon Prime Video
Finland	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport+
France	20:00	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360
Germany	20:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 2, WOW
Greece	21:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now E
Iceland	19:00	Siminn Sport 2, Vodafone Sport
India	00:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	02:00	Vidio
Israel	21:00	Sport 2
Italy	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Max
Japan	04:00	U-NEXT
Malaysia	03:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Sooka
Malta	20:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	13:00	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Sports
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	20:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:00	Sky Sport 4, TVWan
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:00	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Poland	20:00	Viaplay
Portugal	19:00	DAZN 3
Romania	21:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Singapore	03:00	StarHub TV+
Slovakia	20:00	Voyo
Slovenia	20:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
Spain	20:00	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:00	Amazon Prime Video
Switzerland	20:00	Sunrise TV
Thailand	02:00	True Premier Football 3
Turkey	22:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	21:00	Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	19:00	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	14:00	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+
Vietnam	02:00	K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360
International	19:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Southampton		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.33	1.8
	4	4.5	1.75
	3.8	4.55	1.82
	3.97	4.41	1.81
	3.94	4.38	1.83	Watch
	3.7	4.33	1.8
	3.81	4.59	1.83	Watch
	3.8	4.55	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↓ (4.81)	4.46 (4.46)	1.81 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
25%

Draw
21.7%

Tottenham Hotspur
53.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20%

21.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

21.8%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southampton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tottenham Hotspur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.9%	17.6%	67.6%

Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 11 - 14.9%). Tottenham will win (votes: 50 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tottenham: 56.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McCarthy A. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 35. Bednarek J. 3. Manning R. 7. Aribo J. 4. Downes F. 18. Fernandes M. 33. Dibling T. 9. Armstrong A. (C) 20. Sulemana K.	20. Forster F. (G) 24. Spence D. 6. Dragusin R. 14. Gray A. 13. Udogie D. 29. Sarr P. M. 15. Bergvall L. 21. Kulusevski D. 10. Maddison J. 7. Son Heung-Min (C) 19. Solanke D.
Substitutes
27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 19. Archer C. 14. Bree J. 24. Fraser R. 10. Lallana A. 13. Lumley J. (G) 32. Onuachu P. 16. Sugawara Y. 15. Wood N.	40. Austin B. (G) 48. Dorrington A. 79. Hardy M. 22. Johnson B. 3. King M. 42. Lankshear W. 64. Olusesi C. 23. Porro P. 16. Werner T.
Coaches
Martin R.	Postecoglou A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 5)
1', 0 - 1, Maddison J. ⚽, Spence D. (A),
12', 0 - 2, Son Heung-Min ⚽,
14', 0 - 3, Kulusevski D. ⚽,
15', Sulemana K. ↓, Wood N. ↑,
25', 0 - 4, Sarr P. M. ⚽, Son Heung-Min (A),
28', Udogie D. ↓, Porro P. ↑,
30', Bergvall L. 🟨,
36', Fernandes M. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 5, Maddison J. ⚽, Son Heung-Min (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Son Heung-Min ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
50', Maddison J. 🟨,
58', Johnson B. 🟨,
62', Manning R. ↓, Sugawara Y. ↑,
77', Spence D. ↓, Dorrington A. ↑,
77', Maddison J. ↓, Werner T. ↑,
82', Armstrong A. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
82', Solanke D. ↓, Lankshear W. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 1.

S`hampton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tottenham is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

S`hampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tottenham is a favorite.

There will not play in S`hampton: Bazunu G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lallana A. (Thigh Injury) Larios J. (Injury) Smallbone W. (Thigh Injury) Stephens J. (Red Card) Stewart R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Tottenham: Bentancur R. (Suspended) Bissouma Y. (Yellow Cards) Davies B. (Thigh Injury) Odobert W. (Thigh Injury) Richarlison (Thigh Injury) Romero C. (Ankle Injury) Vicario G. (Broken ankle) van de Ven M. (Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Ramsdale A. (Finger Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 28:45 (average 1.4:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams S`hampton won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:20 (average 1.4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English Premier League
07.12.24	Aston Villa - Southampton	1:0 ✺
04.12.24	Southampton - Chelsea	1:5 ✺
29.11.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Southampton	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Southampton - Liverpool	2:3 ✺
09.11.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Southampton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTLL
- Tottenham Hotspur
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Glasgow Rangers - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
08.12.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Chelsea	3:4 ✺
05.12.24	Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Fulham	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Roma	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
18.03.23	Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur	3:3
06.08.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton	4:1
09.02.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton	2:3
28.12.21	Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1
21.04.21	Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton	2:1
20.09.20	Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur	2:5
English FA Cup
05.02.20	Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton	3:2

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