Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Optus Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria
Azerbaijan	00:00	Idman TV
Belgium	21:00	VOOsport World 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	fubo Sports Network
China	04:00	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	21:00	See, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	04:00	Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	20:00	Siminn Sport 1, Siminn Sport
India	01:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	03:00	Vidio
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	05:00	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	02:00	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	04:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	14:00	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports 2
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	09:00	Sky Sport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	04:00	Hub Premier 1, StarHub TV+
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
Spain	21:00	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	04:00	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	03:00	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	22:00	Setanta Sports, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
Usa	15:00	NBC Universo, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea Extra, Sport 24 Extra, USA Network
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7
	1.38	5.25	7.5
	1.36	5.8	8.2	Watch
	1.37	5.69	7.9
	1.38	5.36	7.82	Watch
	1.36	5	8
	1.4	5.6	7.6	Watch
	1.36	5.8	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.47)	5.44 ↑ (4.85)	7.78 ↑ (6.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
69.9%

Draw
17.7%

Southampton
12.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.2%

19.8%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

18.8%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.3%	6.3%	8.4%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: Brighton & Hove Albion will win (80 of 93 users predict this - 86.02%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.97% – 93.07%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 2. Lamptey T. 29. van Hecke J. P. 3. Igor 30. Estupinan P. 33. O'Riley M. 26. Ayari Y. 14. Rutter G. 9. Joao Pedro 22. Mitoma K. 18. Welbeck D. (C)	13. Lumley J. (G) 16. Sugawara Y. 2. Walker-Peters K. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 5. Stephens J. (C) 3. Manning R. 33. Dibling T. 4. Downes F. 18. Fernandes M. 9. Armstrong A. 19. Archer C.
Substitutes
11. Adingra S. 5. Dunk L. 10. Enciso J. 28. Ferguson E. 44. McConville R. 17. Minteh Y. 53. Slater J. 23. Steele J. (G) 27. Wieffer M.	27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 7. Aribo J. 14. Bree J. 17. Brereton Diaz B. 12. Edwards R. 24. Fraser R. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 20. Sulemana K. 15. Wood N.
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Downes F. 🟨,
16', O'Riley M. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Mitoma K. ⚽, Lamptey T. (A),
31', Walker-Peters K. 🟨,
31', Hurzeler F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Downes F. ⚽,
66', Sugawara Y. ↓, Fraser R. ↑,
66', Downes F. ↓, Aribo J. ↑,
72', Lamptey T. ↓, Dunk L. ↑,
72', Joao Pedro ↓, Adingra S. ↑,
72', O'Riley M. ↓, Wieffer M. ↑,
79', Welbeck D. ↓, Ferguson E. ↑,
88', Rutter G. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
88', Archer C. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
90+2', Armstrong A. ↓, Brereton Diaz B. ↑,
90+7', Wieffer M. 🟨,
90+12', Dibling T. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brighton & Hove won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Brighton & Hove is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Baleba C. (Red Card) March S. (Knee Injury) Milner J. (Thigh Injury) O'Riley M. (Ankle Injury) Webster A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Bazunu G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Bednarek J. (Knee Injury) Lallana A. (Thigh Injury) Ramsdale A. (Finger Injury) Smallbone W. (Thigh Injury) Stewart R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Hinshelwood J. (Knee Injury) Kadioglu F. (Toe Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Onuachu P. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Brighton & Hove won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:20 (average 1.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Brighton & Hove won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
23.11.24	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
30.10.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
26.10.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLLT
- Southampton FC
English Premier League
24.11.24	Southampton - Liverpool	2:3 ✺
09.11.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Southampton	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Southampton - Everton	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.24	Southampton - Stoke City	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
26.10.24	Manchester City - Southampton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
21.05.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Southampton	3:1
26.12.22	Southampton - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3
24.04.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Southampton	2:2
04.12.21	Southampton - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
14.03.21	Southampton - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2
07.12.20	Brighton & Hove Albion - Southampton	1:2
16.07.20	Southampton - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1

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