Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday

Location: epet ARENA (Prague)

Referee: Sanchez J. M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	VOOsport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Italy	Sky Sport
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Sparta Prague		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.73
	4.2	3.9	1.77
	4.35	4.05	1.78
	4.4	4.12	1.77
	4.4	4.12	1.77
	4.2	4	1.75
	4.32	4.22	1.83
	4.4	4.1	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (4.25)	4.06 ↑ (3.99)	1.77 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
22.2%

Draw
23.6%

Liverpool
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

23.8%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

26.5%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	7.1%	79.6%

Sparta Prague - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (90 of 113 users predict this - 79.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.23% – 87.07%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vindahl P. (G) 25. Sorensen A. 41. Vitik M. 37. Krejci L. (C) 2. Preciado A. 4. Solbakken M. 6. Kairinen K. 30. Zeleny J. 14. Birmancevic V. 9. Kuchta J. 22. Haraslin L.	62. Kelleher C. (G) 2. Gomez J. 78. Quansah J. 5. Konate I. 26. Robertson A. (C) 19. Elliott H. 3. Endo W. 10. Mac Allister A. 9. Nunez D. 18. Gakpo C. 7. Diaz L.
Substitutes
10. Karabec A. 20. Laci Q. 19. Mejdr J. 7. Olatunji V. 32. Rynes M. 18. Sadilek L. 29. Sevcik M. 44. Surovcik J. (G) 11. Tuci I. 24. Vorel V. (G) 26. Vydra P. 28. Wiesner T.	13. Adrian (G) 84. Bradley C. 42. Clark B. 49. Gordon K. 67. Koumas L. 53. McConnell J. 93. Mrozek F. (G) 92. Musialowski M. 11. Salah M. 8. Szoboszlai D. 21. Tsimikas K. 4. van Dijk V.
Coaches
Priske B.	Klopp J.

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams got a triumph in the latest matches.

Liverpool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Liverpool is a favorite.

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Pavelka D. (Injury) Pesek J. (Injury) Vindheim A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Liverpool: Alexander-Arnold T. (Knee Injury) Alisson (Muscle Injury) Bajcetic S. (Lacking Match Fitness) Diogo Jota (Knee Injury) Doak B. (Knee Injury) Gravenberch R. (Ankle Injury) Jones C. (Ankle Injury) Matip J. (Knee Injury) Thiago (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
03.03.24	Sparta Prague - Slavia Prague	0:0 ✺
Czech Cup
28.02.24	Slavia Prague - Sparta Prague	2:3 ET ✺
Czech 1 Liga
25.02.24	Slovácko - Sparta Prague	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.02.24	Sparta Prague - Galatasaray	4:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
18.02.24	Sparta Prague - Slovan Liberec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWWW
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
02.03.24	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
28.02.24	Liverpool - Southampton	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
25.02.24	Chelsea - Liverpool	0:1 ET ✺
English Premier League
21.02.24	Liverpool - Luton Town	4:1 ✺
17.02.24	Brentford - Liverpool	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW

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