Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Lima)

Referee: Benitez C. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Universitario de Deportes		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.35	3	3.2
	2.28	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.4	3.12	3.32
	2.33	3.07	3.36	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.43	3.1	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.22)	3.05 ↓ (3.11)	3.24 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Deportes
40.1%

Draw
30.9%

Nacional Montevideo
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

30.4%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

30.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	30%	0%

Universitario de Deportes - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Deportes: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Vargas M. (G) 4. Santamaria A. 3. Riveros W. 2. Fara C. 24. Polo A. 16. Perez Guedes M. 23. Murrugarra J. 17. Concha J. 27. Carabali J. 19. Flores E. (C) 20. Valera A.	1. Mejia L. (G) 77. Rodriguez N. 4. Coates S. (C) 2. Rogel A. 30. Barcia B. 6. Boggio L. 23. Rodriguez L. 21. Candido C. 14. Lodeiro N. 9. Gomez M. 27. Veron T.
Substitutes
30. Alzugaray L. 26. Ancajima H. 6. Castillo J. 29. Corzo A. 8. Fertoli H. 90. Gassama S. 33. Inga C. 99. Miguel Silveira 77. Reyna B. 14. Reyna P. 11. Rivera J. 1. Romero D. (G)	13. Ancheta E. 34. Bais F. 15. Calione P. 19. De Los Santos J. 10. dos Santos A. 39. Gonzalez L. 31. Martinez R. 18. Nunez P. 11. Silvera M. 25. Suarez I. (G) 8. Vera M. 32. Viera T.
Coaches
Araujo J.	Bava J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Gomez M. (Penalty Awarded),
18', Fara C. 🟨,
21', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
35', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Fara C. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
43', Gomez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', 2 - 1, Valera A. ⚽,
62', Murrugarra J. 🟨,
63', Barcia B. ↓, Silvera M. ↑,
63', Lodeiro N. ↓, De Los Santos J. ↑,
66', Murrugarra J. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
69', Flores E. ↓, Alzugaray L. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Silvera M. ⚽,
75', Mejia L. 🟨,
80', Valera A. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
80', Perez Guedes M. ↓, Fertoli H. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Alzugaray L. ⚽,
82', Alzugaray L. 🟨,
83', Veron T. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
83', Rodriguez N. ↓, Ancheta E. ↑,
86', Boggio L. ↓, Nunez P. ↑,
88', Castillo J. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 2, Carabali J. ⚽, Fertoli H. (A),

Preview

Uni de Deportes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Uni de Deportes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Uni de Deportes could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Alzugaray L. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Nacional: Ancheta E. (Inactive) Carneiro G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Di Benedetto M. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni de Deportes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Universitario de Deportes - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.52%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
26.04.26	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Garcilaso	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Universitario de Deportes - Coquimbo Unido	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Deportes Tolima - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLT
- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.04.26	Nacional Montevideo - Danubio	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Nacional Montevideo - Deportes Tolima	3:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.04.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional Montevideo	4:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Coquimbo Unido - Nacional Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Bandes
14.01.15	Nacional Montevideo - Universitario de Deportes	2:1

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