Match Info
Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 14Date: 9 April 2026, ThursdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | DAZN App |
 Ecuador | DAZN App |
 Mexico | DAZN App |
 Nicaragua | Campeones, NicaSports |
 Paraguay | DAZN App |
 Peru | DAZN App |
 World | FIFA+ |
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Sport Sébaco |
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Real Madriz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.67 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
|
 |
1.65 |
3.6 |
4.35 |
 Watch |
 |
1.68 |
3.68 |
4.47 |
|
 |
1.69 |
3.92 |
4.46 |
Watch |
 |
1.7 |
3.4 |
4.33 |
|
 |
1.73 |
3.81 |
4.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.74) |
3.69 ↓
(3.74) |
4.37 ↑
(4.23) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sport Sébaco
54.2% | Draw
24.8% | Real Madriz
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Sébaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Real Madriz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madriz than the current prediction. (+0.6%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', 🟥,
- 78', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 1.Sport Sébaco is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Real Madriz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Sport Sébaco is seen as the favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Sport Sébaco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
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Standings
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Sport Sebaco | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 |
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| 9 | Real Madriz | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14:32 | -18 | 15 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Nicaraguan Liga Primera | | | 08.02.26 | Real Madriz - Sport Sébaco | 1:0 | | 10.08.25 | Sport Sébaco - Real Madriz | 3:0 | | 01.05.22 | Real Madriz - Sport Sébaco | 0:0 | | 09.03.22 | Sport Sébaco - Real Madriz | 1:1 | | 20.11.21 | Sport Sébaco - Real Madriz | 2:3 | | 25.09.21 | Real Madriz - Sport Sébaco | 3:3 |
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