Match Info

Date: 6 January 2022, Thursday


	Sporting de Gijón		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	5	3.8	1.61	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.62	Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.62
	5.4	3.8	1.61
	5.64	3.88	1.68
	5.25	3.6	1.57
	5.85	3.94	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.32 ↑ (3.65)	3.77 ↑ (3.18)	1.62 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
17.5%

Draw
24.7%

Villarreal
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

29%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

22.5%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting de Gijón's form might have worsened.

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	8.3%	80.6%

Sporting de Gijón - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (58 of 72 users predict this - 80.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.42% – 89.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Sporting de Gijón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villarreal in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Villarreal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Villarreal is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.22	Sporting de Gijón - Lugo	1:1 ✺
18.12.21	Ibiza - Sporting de Gijón	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Sporting de Gijón - Alcorcón	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
10.12.21	Sporting de Gijón - Huesca	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Las Palmas - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWTL
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.22	Villarreal - Levante	5:0 ✺
21.12.21	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	5:2 ✺
18.12.21	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Atlético Sanluqueño - Villarreal	1:7 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.12.21	Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
28.04.17	Villarreal - Sporting de Gijón	3:1
17.12.16	Sporting de Gijón - Villarreal	1:3
15.05.16	Sporting de Gijón - Villarreal	2:0
10.01.16	Villarreal - Sporting de Gijón	2:0
Club Friendly
15.08.15	Sporting de Gijón - Villarreal	0:1
11.08.13	Sporting de Gijón - Villarreal	1:4
Spanish LaLiga2
10.03.13	Villarreal - Sporting de Gijón	2:1

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