Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	St. Pauli		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.50	2.00
	2.8	3.45	2.15
	2.71	3.64	2.3
	2.75	3.63	2.24
	2.6	3.5	2.25
	2.94	3.88	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.57)	3.6 ↓ (3.91)	2.21 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli
32.9%

Draw
25.5%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.9%

24.3%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

24.9%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Voll B. (G) 25. Dzwigala A. 16. Fujita J. 19. Kaars M. 22. Klein S. 4. Nemeth D. 7. Niang Y. 23. Oppie L. 11. Pyrka A. 20. Rasmussen M. 21. Ritzka L.	1. Nicolas M. (G) 25. Hack R. 14. Hashioka D. 20. Herold D. 11. Kleindienst T. 5. Leszczynski J. 18. Machino S. 10. Neuhaus F. 16. Sander P. 29. Scally J. 7. Stoger K.
Substitutes
14. Ahlstrand E. 17. Banks S. 18. Hara T. 26. Jones R.J. 47. Sabah H. 30. Spari S. (G) 46. Westphal J.	33. Batz D. (G) 39. Danfa I. M. 27. Fleck F. 22. Konoplya Y. 3. Lidberg I. 28. Mujevic S. 34. Nguefack M. 48. Schweers L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Kleindienst T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 1, Jones R.J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1.

St. Pauli has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Borussia M is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

St. Pauli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, St. Pauli has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:19 (averaging 0.9:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for St. Pauli against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 2:10 goals (averaging 0.5:2.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

St. Pauli - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.85%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.26	Energie Cottbus - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	St. Pauli - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Arminia Bielefeld - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	St. Pauli - Kaiserslautern	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWTLL
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
Club Friendly
24.09.26	Siegen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.09.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Mainz	3:4 ✺
12.09.26	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Elversberg	3:4 ✺
29.08.26	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
13.03.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli	2:0
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli	1:2
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:4
06.04.25	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1
24.11.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli	2:0
Club Friendly
14.01.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli	0:1
24.03.17	Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli	4:4

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