Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Brazil	12:00	ESPN
Croatia	16:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	16:00	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Denmark	16:00	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	16:00	beIN Sports Max
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Malaysia	23:00	Astro
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	16:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	15:00	Sport TV6
Serbia	16:00	SportKlub
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	SportKlub
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium


	Stoke City		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.5	1.53	Watch
	5.75	4.6	1.51
	5.5	4.75	1.53	Watch
	5.62	4.75	1.54
	5.62	4.75	1.54
	5.5	4.4	1.44
	5.45	4.6	1.54	Watch
	5.6	4.7	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.57 ↑ (5.37)	4.63 ↑ (4.32)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
17.1%

Draw
20.5%

Brighton & Hove Albion
62.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.5%

21.7%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

21.2%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Stoke City aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	11.8%	76.5%

Stoke City - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iversen D. (G) 17. Hoever K. 5. Rose M. 16. Wilmot B. 27. Leris M. 8. Baker L. 6. Burger W. (C) 12. Johnson D. 22. Bae Joon-Ho 20. Haksabanovic S. 18. Wesley	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 41. Hinshelwood J. 5. Dunk L. (C) 29. van Hecke J. P. 30. Estupinan P. 15. Moder J. 11. Gilmour B. 13. Gross P. 9. Joao Pedro 28. Ferguson E. 40. Buonanotte F.
Substitutes
13. Bonham J. (G) 11. Gayle D. 21. Jojic N. 35. Lowe N. 38. McCarron L. 23. McNally L. 19. Mmaee R. 30. Sidibe S. 7. Vidigal A.	47. Baker-Boaitey B. 20. Baleba C. 45. Hinchy J. 14. Lallana A. 6. Milner J. 44. Peupion C. 23. Steele J. (G) 4. Webster A. 18. Welbeck D.
Coaches
Schumacher S.	De Zerbi R.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Stoke could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brighton & Hove is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Stoke won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
01.01.24	Stoke City - Ipswich Town	0:0 ✺
29.12.23	Watford - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Birmingham City - Stoke City	1:3 ✺
23.12.23	Stoke City - Millwall	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	West Bromwich Albion - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTWTT
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
02.01.24	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0 ✺
28.12.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Tottenham Hotspur	4:2 ✺
21.12.23	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.12.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
28.02.23	Stoke City - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1
English Premier League
10.02.18	Stoke City - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
20.11.17	Brighton & Hove Albion - Stoke City	2:2

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