Match Info

Date: 20 November 2021, Saturday


	Stoke City		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	6.5
	1.5	4.1	7
	1.55	4.3	6.1
	1.57	3.75	6
	1.56	4.27	6.48
	1.5	4	6.5
	1.55	4.33	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)	4.11 ↓ (4.14)	6.39 ↓ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
61.9%

Draw
23.2%

Peterborough United
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

22.8%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

13.2%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-25.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stoke City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peterborough United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stoke City - Peterborough United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs) and 21).

Stoke has the most likely position - 4 (11.88%), has project points - 73, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (44%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Peterborough has the most likely position - 23 (23.04%), has project points - 42, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (54%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Stoke is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
06.11.21	Luton Town - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
03.11.21	Blackpool - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
30.10.21	Stoke City - Cardiff City	3:3 ✺
English League Cup
27.10.21	Stoke City - Brentford	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
23.10.21	Millwall - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTLL
- Peterborough United
English League Championship
06.11.21	Peterborough United - Fulham	0:1 ✺
02.11.21	Peterborough United - Huddersfield Town	1:1 ✺
30.10.21	Swansea City - Peterborough United	3:0 ✺
23.10.21	Peterborough United - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ✺
20.10.21	Hull City - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTLWW

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