Match Info

Date: 27 October 2021, Wednesday


	Stoke City		Brentford

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3	3.4	2.2
	3.25	3.4	2.3	Watch
	3.15	3.25	2.25
	3.33	3.45	2.26
	3.1	3.25	2.25
	3.24	3.6	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.83)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	2.26 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
29.9%

Draw
28.1%

Brentford
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.6%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

20.5%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stoke City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brentford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stoke City - Brentford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Stoke is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brentford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stoke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Brentford have a series of home games.

Brentford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Stoke won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
23.10.21	Millwall - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
19.10.21	Stoke City - Bournemouth	0:1 ✺
16.10.21	Sheffield United - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
01.10.21	Stoke City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
28.09.21	Preston North End - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWT
- Brentford FC
English Premier League
24.10.21	Brentford - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Brentford - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	West Ham United - Brentford	1:2 ✺
25.09.21	Brentford - Liverpool	3:3 ✺
English League Cup
21.09.21	Brentford - Oldham Athletic	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
27.02.21	Brentford - Stoke City	2:1
24.10.20	Stoke City - Brentford	3:2
18.07.20	Stoke City - Brentford	1:0
English FA Cup
04.01.20	Brentford - Stoke City	1:0
English League Championship
21.09.19	Brentford - Stoke City	0:0
12.01.19	Brentford - Stoke City	3:1
11.08.18	Stoke City - Brentford	1:1

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