Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Webb D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 2, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Eurosport 2, Viaplay


	Stoke City		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.5	5
	1.75	3.65	5.25
	1.74	3.45	4.8
	1.77	3.57	5.21
	1.7	3.25	4.8	Watch
	1.76	3.64	4.75	Watch
	1.74	3.45	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.55)	3.51 ↓ (3.95)	4.92 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
54%

Draw
26.8%

Stevenage Borough
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

23.7%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

25.3%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City's form might have worsened.

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Stoke City - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Stevenage will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Stoke is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stevenage is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Stoke is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stoke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
21.01.23	Stoke City - Reading	4:0 ✺
14.01.23	Sheffield United - Stoke City	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
08.01.23	Hartlepool United - Stoke City	0:3 ✺
English League Championship
02.01.23	Stoke City - Preston North End	0:1 ✺
30.12.22	Stoke City - Burnley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL
- Stevenage Borough
English League Two
21.01.23	Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient	3:0 ✺
14.01.23	Harrogate Town - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
08.01.23	Aston Villa - Stevenage Borough	1:2 ✺
English League Two
02.01.23	Stevenage Borough - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
30.12.22	Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
23.08.16	Stevenage Borough - Stoke City	0:4

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