Match Info

Date: 21 October 2021, Thursday


	Sturm Graz		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.4
	7	4.75	1.43
	7.25	4.9	1.43
	7	4.6	1.41
	7.56	4.96	1.43
	7.5	4.6	1.42
	7.6	5.05	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.34 ↑ (5.39)	4.8 ↑ (4.15)	1.42 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
13%

Draw
19.9%

Real Sociedad
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

22.8%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

13%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-33.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Sociedad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.9%	8.6%	88.6%

Sturm Graz - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (93 of 105 users predict this - 88.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.48% – 94.66%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sturm has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (3%), has a small chance of 3rd (8%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Real Sociedad has currently - 2, has a chance of 1st (32%), has a chance of 2nd (37%), has a chance of 3rd (26%), has a good chance of round of 16 (55%), has a chance of qtrs (36%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (12%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Recent matches Sturm is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Sociedad is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Real Sociedad is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
17.10.21	Sturm Graz - Ried	1:0 ✺
03.10.21	Hartberg - Sturm Graz	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.09.21	Sturm Graz - PSV Eindhoven	1:4 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
26.09.21	Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz	0:3 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
22.09.21	Hohenems - Sturm Graz	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
16.10.21	Real Sociedad - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
03.10.21	Getafe - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.09.21	Real Sociedad - Monaco	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.09.21	Real Sociedad - Elche	1:0 ✺
23.09.21	Granada - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTWW

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