The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hertha Berlin 9.6%
Draw 14.6%
Bayern Munich 75.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.7%
17%
70.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.6%
16.8%
71.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.2%
6.6%
80.2%
Hertha Berlin - Bayern Munich Predictions
Users Predictions:
Bayern Munich will win
(73 of 91 users predict this - 80.22%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.04% โ 88.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
Hertha has the most likely position - 16 (15.49%), has project points - 36, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (22%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bayern has the most likely position - 1 (89.45%), has project points - 77, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (>99%), has a good chance of win league (89%).
This event has big quality74, importance40, match rating57. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hertha won 0.
Recent matches Hertha is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Bayern is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Bayern could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Bayern is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Hertha: Dardai M.
(Broken shinbone)
Jarstein R.
(Injury)
Jovetic S.
(Injury)
Ngankam J.
(Muscle Injury)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Bayern: Muller T.
(Hip Injury)
Sarr B.
(Knee Injury)
de Ligt M.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Hertha: Kanga W.
(Stomach Disorder)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Hertha won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 16-48.
Including matches at home between the teams Hertha won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-27.
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