Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, Supersport Action, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 5
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	5 GOLD Israel
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 258
Japan	Wowow Cinema
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Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	DAZN 5
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 7
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 8
Usa	Paramount+, Sport 24 Extra
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Stuttgart		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.55	2.63
	3.5	2.45	2.55
	3.8	2.55	2.65	Watch
	3.89	2.48	2.65
	3.99	2.51	2.59	Watch
	3.5	2.5	2.7
	3.83	2.63	2.63
	3.8	2.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.38)	2.53 ↓ (3.21)	2.63 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
25.6%

Draw
37.9%

Paris Saint-Germain
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

29.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

28.3%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.1%	65%	28.8%

Stuttgart - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 162 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 10 - 6.2%). PSG will win (votes: 47 - 29%). It will Tie (votes: 105 - 64.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 57.4% – 72.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bredlow F. (G) 4. Vagnoman J. 2. Al Dakhil A. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 18. Leweling J. 8. Millot E. 27. Fuhrich C. 26. Undav D.	1. Donnarumma G. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 21. Hernandez L. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 87. Neves J. 17. Vitinha 10. Dembele O. 14. Doue D. 29. Barcola B.
Substitutes
52. Bujupi E. 45. Chase A. 9. Demirovic E. 5. Keitel Y. 47. Malanga J. 32. Rieder F. 41. Seimen D. (G) 15. Stenzel P. 20. Stergiou L.	11. Asensio M. 35. Beraldo L. 3. Kimpembe P. 19. Lee Kang-In 24. Mayulu S. 9. Ramos G. 8. Ruiz F. 39. Safonov M. (G) 48. Tape A. 80. Tenas A. (G)
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Luis Enrique

Preview

Stuttgart is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

PSG is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

PSG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

PSG will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Raimund L. (Thigh Injury) Rouault A. (Yellow Cards) Toure E. B. (Foot Injury) Zagadou D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PSG: Mbaye I. (Ankle Injury) Mendes N. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Diehl J. (Hamstring Injury) Olivier C. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
25.01.25	Mainz - Stuttgart	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.25	Slovan Bratislava - Stuttgart	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.01.25	Stuttgart - Freiburg	4:0 ✺
15.01.25	Stuttgart - RB Leipzig	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Augsburg - Stuttgart	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW
- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
25.01.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Reims	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.01.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester City	4:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.01.25	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
15.01.25	Espaly - Paris Saint-Germain	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
12.01.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWWW

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