Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Augsburg		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.75	2.15	Watch
	3.4	3.8	2
	3.35	3.7	2.08	Watch
	3.43	3.85	2.12
	3.22	3.84	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.45	3.94	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.54)	3.78 ↓ (3.83)	2.09 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
28.9%

Draw
25.3%

Stuttgart
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

24.6%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

24%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	17.8%	68.9%

Augsburg - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 6 - 13.3%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 31 - 68.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 55.4% – 82.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Augsburg (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stuttgart will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Stuttgart (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (G) 40. Banks N. 31. Schlotterbeck K. (C) 16. Zesiger C. 19. Fellhauer R. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 4. Massengo H. 13. Giannoulis D. 32. Rieder F. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 21. Ribeiro R.	33. Nubel A. (G) 22. Assignon L. 29. Jeltsch F. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 6. Stiller A. 30. Andres C. 8. Tomas T. 10. Fuhrich C. 26. Undav D. (C) 28. Nartey N.
Substitutes
34. Arthur Chaves 11. Gharbi I. 38. Gregoritsch M. 17. Jakic K. 30. Kade A. 36. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 39. Ogundu U. 27. Wolf M.	27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 9. Demirovic E. 11. El Khannouss B. 3. Hendriks R. 14. Jaquez L. 25. Jeremy Arevalo 16. Karazor A. 4. Vagnoman J.
Coaches
Baum M.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Undav D. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Tomas T. ⚽, Nartey N. (A),
31', 0 - 3, Nartey N. ⚽, Mittelstadt M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Ribeiro R. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
46', Banks N. ↓, Arthur Chaves ↑,
46', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
57', 1 - 3, Rieder F. ⚽,
58', 1 - 4, Undav D. ⚽,
63', Nartey N. 🟨,
65', Massengo H. ↓, Jakic K. ↑,
68', Andres C. 🟨,
70', Andres C. ↓, Karazor A. ↑,
70', Fuhrich C. ↓, Hendriks R. ↑,
71', 2 - 4, Kade A. ⚽,
77', Assignon L. 🟨,
79', Giannoulis D. 🟨,
81', Tomas T. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
81', Assignon L. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,
83', 2 - 5, Demirovic E. ⚽, Undav D. (A),
85', Undav D. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
86', Giannoulis D. ↓, Ogundu U. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stuttgart might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Augsburg: Keitel Y. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Stuttgart: Jovanovic L. (Back Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Leweling J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 30:29. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11:6	5	7
15	Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6:9	-3	3

Last Results with these Odds

Augsburg - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 26.6%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
14.03.26	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	RB Leipzig - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Augsburg - Köln	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Augsburg - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLWWW
- VfB Stuttgart
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Porto - Stuttgart	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
15.03.26	Stuttgart - RB Leipzig	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Stuttgart - Porto	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	Mainz - Stuttgart	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Stuttgart - Wolfsburg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
09.11.25	Stuttgart - Augsburg	3:2
11.05.25	Stuttgart - Augsburg	4:0
German DFB Pokal
04.02.25	Stuttgart - Augsburg	1:0
German Bundesliga
12.01.25	Augsburg - Stuttgart	0:1
10.05.24	Augsburg - Stuttgart	0:1
20.12.23	Stuttgart - Augsburg	3:0
21.04.23	Augsburg - Stuttgart	1:1

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