The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sunderland 64.7%
Draw 21.5%
Northampton Town 13.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
23.4%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.5%
13.8%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-29.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76%
8%
16%
Sunderland - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 59.3% – 92.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Sunderland is Qualified for League One (Play Offs)
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
Sunderland has the most likely position - 4 (59.59%), has project points - 78, has currently - 76, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a chance of promoted (32%), has not chance of win league.
Northampton has the most likely position - 22 (82.57%), has project points - 45, has currently - 44, was already of relegated.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Northampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Sunderland is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
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