Match Info

Date: 2 March 2021, Tuesday


	Sunderland		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7.5
	1.44	4.5	6.5
	1.45	4.6	7
	1.44	4.3	6.6
	1.45	4.62	7.43
	1.44	4.2	7
	1.48	4.6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.45)	4.47 ↑ (4.45)	7 ↑ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
65.3%

Draw
21.2%

Swindon Town
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.2%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76%

18.2%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunderland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69%	10.3%	20.7%

Sunderland - Swindon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 20 - 69%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 52.2% – 85.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to League One (Play Offs) and 18).

Sunderland has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (54%), has a chance of promoted (41%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Swindon has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sunderland in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Swindon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swindon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sunderland is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sunderland to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League One
27.02.21	Crewe Alexandra - Sunderland	2:2 ✺
23.02.21	Sunderland - Fleetwood Town	2:0 ✺
20.02.21	Burton Albion - Sunderland	0:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
17.02.21	Sunderland - Lincoln City	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
13.02.21	Sunderland - Doncaster Rovers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWWW
- Swindon Town
English League One
27.02.21	Swindon Town - Northampton Town	2:1 ✺
23.02.21	Lincoln City - Swindon Town	2:2 ✺
20.02.21	Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
09.02.21	Portsmouth - Swindon Town	2:0 ✺
06.02.21	Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
17.10.20	Swindon Town - Sunderland	0:2

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