Match Info

Date: 8 March 2022, Tuesday


	Sunderland		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	6.5
	1.51	4.1	6
	1.48	4.25	7.25
	1.51	4	6
	1.51	4.28	6.97
	1.5	4	6.5
	1.53	4.4	6.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.56)	4.18 ↓ (4.2)	6.6 (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
62.9%

Draw
22.7%

Fleetwood Town
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

23.1%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

19.3%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunderland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Sunderland - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 19).

Sunderland has the most likely position - 7 (16.36%), has project points - 77, has currently - 60, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Fleetwood has the most likely position - 19 (23.77%), has project points - 48, has currently - 33, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 20, small importance 27, small match rating 23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 0.

Recent matches Sunderland is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fleetwood is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fleetwood could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League One
05.03.22	Charlton Athletic - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
26.02.22	Wigan Athletic - Sunderland	0:3 ✺
22.02.22	Sunderland - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Sunderland - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	AFC Wimbledon - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWTLT
- Fleetwood Town
English League One
05.03.22	Fleetwood Town - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
01.03.22	Wigan Athletic - Fleetwood Town	2:0 ✺
26.02.22	Portsmouth - Fleetwood Town	3:3 ✺
12.02.22	Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town	2:0 ✺
08.02.22	Fleetwood Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
18.09.21	Fleetwood Town - Sunderland	2:2
23.02.21	Sunderland - Fleetwood Town	2:0
27.11.20	Fleetwood Town - Sunderland	1:1
English EFL Trophy
10.11.20	Fleetwood Town - Sunderland	2:1
English League One
25.02.20	Sunderland - Fleetwood Town	1:1
01.01.20	Fleetwood Town - Sunderland	1:1
30.04.19	Fleetwood Town - Sunderland	2:1

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