The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Técnico Universitario 21.8%
Draw 28.5%
LDU Quito 49.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
29.2%
44.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
28.9%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LDU Quito's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Morales A. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 53. Chilla R. 5. Mena S. 85. Arce Y. 29. Cela A. 33. Majao J. 25. Delgado B. 8. Armas D. (C) 7. Estupinan L. 10. Johan Bocanegra
1. Valle G. (G) 57. Weigandt M. 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 4. Ade R. (C) 67. Carabali J. 23. Quinonez Y. 7. Rodriguez L. 8. Pretell J. 20. Cornejo F. 13. Corozo J. 11. Estrada M.
Substitutes
30. Arce K. 11. Arteaga C. 90. Caicedo W. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 70. Castano M. 19. Castillo A. 15. Castillo F. 60. Freire S. 77. Garcia C. 1. Razzeto S. (G) 6. Torres Nazareno L. B.
10. Alvarado A. 16. Deyverson 22. Dominguez A. (G) 5. Gonzalez Baquero S. 3. Mina R. 27. Mina R. 33. Quinonez L. 31. Rodriguez J. 44. Segovia L. 77. Velasco K. 15. Villamil G. 26. Zambrano I.
Coaches
Blanco I.
Alvarez G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Estupinan L. ⚽, Johan Bocanegra (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 1 - 1, Estrada M. ⚽, Cornejo F. (A),
60', Carabali J. ↓, Segovia L. ↑,
63', Delgado B. ↓, Torres Nazareno L. B. ↑,
63', Cela A. ↓, Arteaga C. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Rodriguez L. ⚽, Segovia L. (A),
69', Ade R. ↓, Mina R. ↑,
71', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
73', Estupinan L. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
75', Chilla R. 🟨,
81', Arce Y. ↓, Castano M. ↑,
81', Armas D. ↓, Caicedo W. ↑,
86', Cornejo F. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
86', Corozo J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
86', Rodriguez L. ↓, Gonzalez Baquero S. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Gonzalez Baquero S. (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
Técnico Univ is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 0.
Técnico Univ is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
LDU Quito is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, LDU Quito is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 13:39. (average 0.7:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 6:22. (average 0.6:2.2).
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Morales A. (G) 
Mena S. 
Weigandt M. 
Allala Menendez G. F. 
Ade R. (C) 
Pretell J. 
Cornejo F. 
Deyverson 
Villamil G. 
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