Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 6

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Pamir Stadium (Dushanbe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Philippines	Cignal Play, One Sports, One Sports+, Pilipinas Live
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Varzish Sport


	Tajikistan		Philippines

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.78	3.35	4.7	Watch
	1.8	3.39	4.88
	2.29	2.22	5.31	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.8	3.43	4.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.13)	3.15 ↑ (3.09)	4.67 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tajikistan
50.1%

Draw
29.8%

Philippines
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

29.9%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tajikistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tajikistan's performance.

Philippines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philippines might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Tajikistan - Philippines Predictions

Users Predictions: Tajikistan will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yatimov R. (G) FK Rostov 14. Boboev S. PSM Makassar 2. Dzhuraboev Z. Sogdiana 3. Islomov T. Istiqlol Dushanbe 4. Kurbonov S. Istiqlol Dushanbe 15. Mabatshoev S. Terengganu 17. Pandzhshanbe E. Terengganu 5. Safarov M. Istiqlol Dushanbe 21. Sharipov D. Istiqlol Dushanbe 18. Shukurov A. Qizilqum 7. Umarbaev P. (C) Lok. Plovdiv	1. Mendoza K. (G) Chonburi 12. Aguinaldo A. (C) DPMM 10. Kristensen B. KFUM Oslo 7. Leipold A. Helmond Sport 5. Nyholm J. Prachuap 23. Obermair R. Paderborn 8. Ott Ma. Rayong FC 6. Reyes S. Gutersloh 11. Schneider R. Winterthur 4. Tabinas J. Chonburi 3. Tabinas P. Din. Zagreb
Substitutes
16. Azizov D. (G) Khosilot Parkhar 23. Baklov O. (G) Turan 8. Dzhuraboev A. Istiqlol Dushanbe 12. Karimov M. Locomotive Tbilisi 20. Karomatullozoda A. Ravshan Kulob 13. Kovussho S. CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 10. Maksumov D. Ravshan Kulob 19. Nazarov A. Istiqlol Dushanbe 11. Rakhimov M. Istiqlol Dushanbe 6. Rakhimzoda F. 22. Samiev S. Al-Karma 9. Soirov R. Istiqlol Dushanbe	19. Bailey Z. New Mexico 15. Deyto P. (G) Kaya FC 9. Gayoso J. Bangkok FC 16. Kammeraad Q. (G) Kuala Lumpur City 14. Kekkonen O. Lamphun Warrior 20. Kempter M. Muang Thong Utd 2. Kike Linares Chonburi 22. Mariona J. AV Alta FC 13. Monis A. CT United FC 18. Rasmussen S. 21. Sato D. Taguig

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Obermair R. ⚽,
34', Mabatshoev S. ↓, Soirov R. ↑,
41', 1 - 1, Boboev S. ⚽, Pandzhshanbe E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Sharipov D. ↓, Dzhuraboev A. ↑,
56', Shukurov A. ↓, Rakhimov M. ↑,
73', Leipold A. ↓, Bailey Z. ↑,
73', Reyes S. ↓, Gayoso J. ↑,
79', Boboev S. ↓, Karomatullozoda A. ↑,
83', Ott Ma. ↓, Mariona J. ↑,
87', Nyholm J. ↓, Rasmussen S. ↑,
90+2', Aguinaldo A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tajikistan won 2.

Tajikistan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tajikistan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tajikistan
Asian Cup
18.11.25	Timor-Leste - Tajikistan	0:5 ✺
14.10.25	Maldives - Tajikistan	0:3 ✺
09.10.25	Tajikistan - Maldives	2:0 ✺
CAFA Nations Cup
04.09.25	Tajikistan - Iran	2:2 ✺
01.09.25	Afghanistan - Tajikistan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWTW
- Philippines
Asian Cup
18.11.25	Maldives - Philippines	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Philippines - Timor-Leste	3:1 ✺
09.10.25	Timor-Leste - Philippines	1:4 ✺
10.06.25	Philippines - Tajikistan	2:2 ✺
25.03.25	Philippines - Maldives	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup
10.06.25	Philippines - Tajikistan	2:2
Kings Cup Thailand
14.10.24	Tajikistan - Philippines	0:3
Merdeka Cup
08.09.24	Tajikistan - Philippines	1:0 penalties
Bangabandhu Gold Cup
09.10.18	Philippines - Tajikistan	0:2
Asian Cup
27.03.18	Philippines - Tajikistan	2:1
13.06.17	Tajikistan - Philippines	3:4

Tajikistan - Philippines: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide