Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 28

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Talavera de la Reina		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4.2
	1.82	3.1	4
	2	3.2	3.75
	1.95	3.31	4.1
	1.9	3.31	4.11
	1.86	3.28	4.26
	1.92	3.1	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.25)	3.19 ↑ (3.03)	4.05 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
48.4%

Draw
28.8%

Gimnástica Segoviana
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

30.3%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talavera de la Reina's performance.

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástica Segoviana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talavera de la Reina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástica Segoviana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Talavera de la Reina - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Lolo (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Talavera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnástica Segoviana is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Talavera is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Talavera won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Talavera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.03.24	Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina	4:0 ✺
10.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	UD San Fernando - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWTT
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	UD San Fernando - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Unión Adarve - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:3 ✺
18.02.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Mensajero - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.11.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Talavera de la Reina	0:1
Club Friendly
11.08.21	Gimnástica Segoviana - Talavera de la Reina	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.04.18	Talavera de la Reina - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0
12.11.17	Gimnástica Segoviana - Talavera de la Reina	2:0

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