The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tallinna Kalev 29%
Draw 24.4%
Harju JK Laagri 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.5%
24.8%
46.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.8%
23.3%
49.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Tallinna Kalev - Harju JK Laagri Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Harju (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Kalev (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalev (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Harju (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Weinstein M. (G) 6. Palutaja H. 3. Tsernjakov J. 4. Jallow M. 22. Sotsugov D. (C) 17. Smirnov R. 2. Famuditimi H. 9. Usta T. 24. Sukunda Z. 5. Kollo A. 12. Purje A.
97. Baturins I. (G) 6. Bergman A. 3. Kaevats A. 24. Laur K. 14. Antonov K. (C) 17. Kelement M. 8. Ussa 66. Roomussaar K. 23. Rudenko Daniil 9. Eerme K. 13. Sillamaa R.
Substitutes
31. De Pizzol O. 23. Ernits R. 21. Ilves R. 99. Lepp S. (G) 18. Mihhailov V. 37. Shevyakov D. 16. Surogin A. 7. Talu R. 19. Tomberg M.
18. Beilmann J. 47. Ennuste K. 5. Kangur S. 11. Kose A. 7. Reimaa R. 10. Sikk A. 1. Vainula J. (G)
Coaches
Barengrub A.
Nuuma L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Smirnov R. ⚽, Sukunda Z. (A),
43', 2 - 0, Sukunda Z. ⚽, Usta T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 2 - 1, Eerme K. (Pen),
61', Kelement M. 🟨,
64', Kaevats A. 🟨,
69', Sillamaa R. ↓, Kose A. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Usta T. ⚽, Sukunda Z. (A),
73', Rudenko Daniil ↓, Ennuste K. ↑,
73', Kelement M. ↓, Sikk A. ↑,
84', Sukunda Z. ↓, Tomberg M. ↑,
84', Tsernjakov J. ↓, Ernits R. ↑,
85', Bergman A. 🟨,
88', Smirnov R. ↓, Mihhailov V. ↑,
88', Usta T. ↓, Surogin A. ↑,
90+1', Purje A. ↓, Ilves R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 2.
Kalev is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Harju is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Kalev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Harju could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).