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Current Win Probability
Tapatío 59%
Draw 23%
Tepatitlán de Morelos 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.1%
21.8%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
16.2%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
The chances for Tepatitlán de Morelos have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tapatío that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tepatitlán de Morelos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Tapatío - Tepatitlán de Morelos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 10th and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 0.
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Tapatío for this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Tapatío has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:17 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tapatío against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:9 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).
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