Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 27 June 2025, Friday

Location: Beirne Stadium (Pawtucket, RI)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rhode Island		Portland Hearts of Pine

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	4.09	5.54
				Watch
	1.51	3.94	5.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.8)	4.02 ↑ (3.38)	5.51 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rhode Island
60.1%

Draw
23.1%

Portland Hearts of Pine
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

27.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

29.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rhode Island's performance.

Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lee J. (G) 14. Hope-Gund R. 15. Nodarse F. 24. Yao K. 3. Sanchez A. 11. Fuson N. 12. Holstad C. (C) 21. Rodriguez M. 17. Kwizera J. 10. Dikwa A. 18. Brito J.	23. Oladapo K. (G) 4. Mahlamaki S. 7. Vinberg S. 19. Wright S. 50. Mohamed M. 17. Reilly M. 12. Keegan J. (C) 22. Varela W. 77. Wada M. 47. James N. 14. Washington T.
Substitutes
80. Angking I. 16. Dewhurst C. 13. Meyer W. (G) 8. Okiyoshi T. 2. Rovira D. 19. Vang K. 23. Ybarra M.	80. Kamara J. 6. Langlois P. 5. Lopez M. 3. Messer N. 1. Morse H. (G) 21. Quinones C. 10. Wright O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Wright S. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Dikwa A. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
36', Kwizera J. 🟨,
44', Dikwa A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Vinberg S. ↓, Messer N. ↑,
48', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
50', 2 - 0, Dikwa A. ⚽, Sanchez A. (A),
53', Mohamed M. 🟨,
58', 3 - 0, Dikwa A. ⚽, Kwizera J. (A),
59', Reilly M. ↓, Langlois P. ↑,
59', Keegan J. ↓, Wright O. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Washington T. ⚽,
70', Brito J. ↓, Rovira D. ↑,
70', Varela W. ↓, Kamara J. ↑,
71', Holstad C. ↓, Ybarra M. ↑,
79', Dikwa A. ↓, Angking I. ↑,
85', 4 - 1, Fuson N. ⚽, Sanchez A. (A),
88', Rodriguez M. ↓, Vang K. ↑,
88', Kwizera J. ↓, Okiyoshi T. ↑,
90', Sanchez A. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Rhode Island is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rhode Island won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
21.06.25	Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Rhode Island - North Carolina	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Louisville City - Rhode Island	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Rhode Island - Miami	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLW
- Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One
21.06.25	AV Alta - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Union Omaha	3:1 ✺
07.06.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Detroit City	4:2 ✺
USL League One
24.05.25	Forward Madison - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
15.04.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Rhode Island	1:2

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