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Current Win Probability
Tigres UANL 85.7%
Draw 10.1%
Real Estelí 4.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.7%
18.5%
10.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.7%
16.9%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tigres UANL's performance.
Real Estelí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Estelí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-21%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tigres UANL that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Estelí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
0%
37.5%
Tigres UANL - Real Estelí Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tigres will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Real Estelí will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tigres: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Guzman N. (G) 20. Aquino J. 19. Pizarro G. (C) 27. Angulo J. 14. Garza J. 8. Gorriaran F. 23. Romulo 16. Lainez D. 11. Brunetta J. 77. Herrera O. 9. Ibanez N.
25. Vega J. (G) 3. Nino H. 7. Bonilla B. 8. Sanchez Lopez J. A. 10. Medina H. 11. Hernandez B. 16. Techera M. 18. Parra W. 20. Lloreda J. 27. Quijano J. (C) 34. Gutierrez J.
Substitutes
22. Antuna U. 17. Cordova S. 30. Fulgencio R. 2. Joaquim 28. Ordonez Delgado F. I. 34. Parra B. 5. Rafael Carioca 25. Rodriguez F. (G) 4. Sanchez J. 31. Tapia F. (G) 15. Tercero E. 6. Vigon J.
23. Acevedo O. 13. Baez A. 1. Cerda E. (G) 28. Cole K. 9. Corea D. 4. Fletes M. 6. Grahl F. 14. Macareno K. 21. Ordonez B. 22. Salandia C. (G) 12. Talavera W. 2. Vallecillo F.
Coaches
Paunovic V.
Olivas R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Herrera O. ⚽, Aquino J. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Lainez D. ⚽, Brunetta J. (A),
24', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
26', Brunetta J. 🟨,
43', Gorriaran F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lloreda J. ↓, Ordonez B. ↑,
54', Nino H. 🟨,
63', Sanchez Lopez J. A. ↓, Acevedo O. ↑,
64', Romulo 🟨,
69', Medina H. 🟨,
71', Brunetta J. ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
71', Herrera O. ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
71', Romulo ↓, Joaquim ↑,
71', Hernandez B. ↓, Talavera W. ↑,
79', Nino H. ↓, Grahl F. ↑,
79', Bonilla B. ↓, Corea D. ↑,
79', Ibanez N. ↓, Cordova S. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Vigon J. ⚽,
88', Gorriaran F. ↓, Parra B. ↑,
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Real Estelí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Tigres is absolute favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Tigres won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Tigres won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0