Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Caliente (Tijuana)

Referee: Escobedo Gonzalez A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Tijuana		Pachuca

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.32	Watch
	2.78	3.45	2.38	Watch
	2.91	3.62	2.45
	2.81	3.63	2.37	Watch
	2.63	3.2	2.3
	2.81	3.45	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.95)	3.49 ↑ (3.25)	2.36 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tijuana
33.7%

Draw
26.7%

Pachuca
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

27.7%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.9%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Tijuana - Pachuca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Rodriguez A. (C) 3. Inzunza R. 12. Porozo J. 6. Gomez A. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 8. Tona I. 17. Arciga R. 10. Castaneda K. 22. Rivero I. 19. Mora G. 31. Abreu D.	25. Moreno C. (C) 21. Lopez R. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 184. Alfaro C. 12. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 188. Rodriguez S. 16. Rivera C. 7. Quinones L. 26. Bautista A. 18. Dominguez A. 10. Valencia E.
Substitutes
4. Bilbao U. 27. Blanco D. 34. Boya F. 9. El Ghezouani M. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 30. Martinez J. 26. Perez A. 11. Preciado A. 16. Vega A. 20. Zapata A.	187. Alvarez G. 2. Barreto S. D. 13. Berlanga J. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 8. Guzman V. 11. Idrissi O. 29. Kenedy 5. Pedraza P. 23. Rondon S. 14. Sanchez C.
Coaches
Abreu S.	Solari E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', Alfaro C. 🟨,
33', Mora G. (Penalty Awarded),
33', 1 - 0, Mora G. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Abreu D. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dominguez A. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
58', Rivera C. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
62', Guzman V. 🟨,
64', Inzunza R. 🟨,
67', Mora G. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
67', Arciga R. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
67', Ortiz Orozco P. N. ↓, Bilbao U. ↑,
74', Bautista A. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
74', Quinones L. ↓, Rondon S. ↑,
77', Abreu D. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
77', Castaneda K. ↓, Boya F. ↑,
79', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
82', 3 - 0, Martinez J. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Inzunza R. 🟨,
87', Tona I. 🟨,
87', Valencia E. 🟨,
88', Eduardo Bauermann ↓, Berlanga J. ↑,
90+1', Valencia E. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 1, Guzman V. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Pachuca is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Recently, Tijuana has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A. (Knee Injury) Mozo A. (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Pachuca: Kenedy (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:43. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Club Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15
12	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	15:11	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX
18.04.26	Cruz Azul - Tijuana	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Juárez - Tijuana	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Tijuana - Tigres UANL	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Necaxa - Tijuana	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Club León - Tijuana	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 TWWLW
- CF Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX
18.04.26	Monterrey - Pachuca	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Pachuca - Santos Laguna	4:2 ✺
04.04.26	Cruz Azul - Pachuca	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Pachuca - Toluca	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Atlético San Luis - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
16.08.25	Pachuca - Tijuana	0:2
16.03.25	Pachuca - Tijuana	4:1
04.10.24	Tijuana - Pachuca	2:1
03.02.24	Pachuca - Tijuana	3:2
10.11.23	Tijuana - Pachuca	2:3
26.02.23	Tijuana - Pachuca	2:0
11.09.22	Pachuca - Tijuana	6:1

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