Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Kostanay)

Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)


	Tobol Kostanay		Basel

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2
	3.25	3.6	2.05
	3.2	3.7	2.09
	3.07	3.76	2.15
	3.35	3.82	2
	3.3	3.8	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.83)	3.7 ↑ (3.29)	2.07 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tobol Kostanay
29.4%

Draw
25.3%

Basel
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27.8%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

26.6%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.1%	2.4%	80.5%

Tobol Kostanay - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Tobol will win (votes: 7 - 17.1%). Basel will win (votes: 33 - 80.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basel: 68.4% – 92.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Konovalov I. (G) 24. Kairov B. 4. Rogac I. 30. Mladjovic B. 3. Asrankulov R. 14. Zharynbetov S. (C) 6. Ilic J. 11. Chesnokov I. 20. Orazov R. 21. Vukadinovic M. 8. Deble S.	13. Salvi M. (G) 5. Lang M. 4. Comas A. 25. van Breemen F. 31. Schmid D. 20. Frei F. (C) 23. Burger W. 30. Kade A. 10. Augustin J. 7. Millar L. 27. Ndoye D.
Substitutes
12. Busurmanov S. (G) 15. Gabaraev A. 51. Galym B. 18. Kireenko P. 19. Mrkaic M. 10. Muzhikov S. 5. Semchenkov D. 13. Zabelin P. 17. Zhakupov T. 7. Zhumashev Z.	16. De Mol N. (G) 24. Djiga N. 18. Essiam E. 17. Hunziker A. 39. Junior Ze 38. Kayombo A. 29. Onyegbule A. 43. Pfeiffer T. (G) 28. Vogel H.
Coaches
Curcic M.	Schultz T.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-1.

Tobol in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Basel is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Basel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Basel will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tobol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobol Kostanay
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Basel - Tobol Kostanay	1:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
23.07.23	Tobol Kostanay - Okzhetpes	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Honka - Tobol Kostanay	0:0 ✺
13.07.23	Tobol Kostanay - Honka	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
08.07.23	Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31 WWTWW
- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
30.07.23	Basel - Winterthur	5:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Basel - Tobol Kostanay	1:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
22.07.23	St. Gallen - Basel	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.23	Basel - Benfica	1:3 ✺
08.07.23	Vaduz - Basel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Basel - Tobol Kostanay	1:3

Upcoming Matches