Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 6h 27m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:15	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 4, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:15	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	18:15	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	23:15	MyTV
Canada	12:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	00:15	Migu
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Finland	18:15	Viaplay
France	17:15	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	17:15	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	00:15	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	23:15	Vidio
Israel	18:15	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	17:15	Ligue 1+
Japan	01:15	DAZN Japan
Mexico	10:15	FOX One
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	17:15	MaxTV GO
Norway	17:15	Viaplay
Peru	11:15	Disney+
Romania	18:15	Voyo
Serbia	17:15	Arena Sport 5
Slovenia	17:15	Arena Sport 4
South Korea	01:15	Coupang Play
Spain	17:15	DAZN Espana
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	19:15	beIN Connect
Ukraine	18:15	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:15	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	13:15	Disney+
Usa	12:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	12:15	Disney+
Vietnam	23:15	ON Plus, VTVcab
International	16:15	OneFootball TV


	Toulouse		Troyes

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.20	6.50	Watch
	1.51	4.60	5.75
	1.52	4.35	5.50
	1.52	4.60	6.32
	1.53	4.35	5.9	Watch
	1.50	4.50	6.15
	1.57	4.62	6.16	Watch
	1.49	4.80	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.7)	4.5 ↑ (4.05)	6.04 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Toulouse
63%

Draw
21.2%

Troyes
15.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

22.5%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toulouse's performance.

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Troyes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toulouse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76%	4%	20%

Toulouse - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Troyes will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Toulouse (1.55) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Toulouse will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 12th and 17th in the Relegation - Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 3.

Toulouse has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Troyes has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Toulouse could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Toulouse carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Toulouse has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:4 (averaging 1.7:0.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Toulouse against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 1.6:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Toulouse	7	2	3	2	12:11	1	9
17	Troyes	7	1	1	5	5:16	-11	4

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Toulouse: 0.51% Troyes: 0.14%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
16.10.26	Le Mans - Toulouse	0:3 ✺
10.10.26	Monaco - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Toulouse - Pau	2:3
French Ligue 1
19.09.26	Toulouse - Le Havre	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Lorient - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLWT
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 1
17.10.26	Troyes - Lens	1:3 ✺
11.10.26	Troyes - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Angers - Troyes	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Lille - Troyes	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Troyes - Strasbourg	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
01.02.23	Toulouse - Troyes	4:1
14.08.22	Troyes - Toulouse	0:3
French Ligue 2
06.02.21	Troyes - Toulouse	1:1
03.10.20	Toulouse - Troyes	0:0
French Ligue 1
27.01.18	Toulouse - Troyes	1:0
09.09.17	Troyes - Toulouse	0:0
07.05.16	Toulouse - Troyes	1:0

Upcoming Matches