The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tranmere Rovers 20.4%
Draw 25.1%
Northampton Town 54.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
30.2%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
31.6%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tranmere Rovers's form might have worsened.
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Northampton Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tranmere Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-19.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Northampton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.6%
2.8%
91.7%
Tranmere Rovers - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
108 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 6 - 5.6%). Northampton will win (votes: 99 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 2.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 86.5% – 96.9%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Tranmere has the most likely position - 13 (30.06%), project points - 59, currently - 58, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
Northampton has the most likely position - 4 (42.83%), project points - 82, currently - 80, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), a good chance of promoted (66%), not chance of win league.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 0.
Recent matches Tranmere is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Northampton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Northampton is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Tranmere won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.
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