Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Sausalito (Vina del Mar)

Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV2


	Unión La Calera		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.85	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.85
	4.33	3.4	1.83	Watch
	4.5	3.52	1.89
	4.27	3.52	1.87
	4.2	3.3	1.8	Watch
	4.22	3.45	1.86	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (3.99)	3.4 (3.4)	1.85 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión La Calera
21.8%

Draw
27.6%

Cruzeiro
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

27.2%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

26.5%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Unión La Calera - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ibanez M. (G) 13. Ferrario E. 24. Parnisari E. 31. Matus E. 30. Romo B. 10. Cavalleri M. 9. Perez C. 11. Aued L. 8. Hauche G. 20. Gigliotti E. 19. Soldano F.	98. Anderson (G) 2. Wesley Gasolina 5. Ze Ivaldo 43. Joao Marcelo 3. Marlon 18. Cifuentes J. 29. Romero L. (C) 7. Mateus Vital 10. Matheus Pereira 19. Rafael Elias 21. Barreal A.
Substitutes
28. Arnijas L. 18. Astudillo B. (G) 27. Encinas A. 23. Fiamengo D. 29. Huerta R. 5. Munoz M. 1. Pena Jorge (G) 17. Ponce W. 21. Rebolledo R. 4. Ulloa D.	11. Arthur Gomes 23. Filipe Machado 30. Gabriel Veron 6. Kaiki 41. Leo Aragao (G) 16. Lucas Silva 27. Neris 8. Rafa Silva 17. Ramiro 80. Robert 25. Villalba L. 12. William Furtado
Coaches
Fernandez M.	Seabra F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Ferrario E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Rafael Elias 🟨,
64', Aued L. 🟨,
65', Gigliotti E. ↓, Rebolledo R. ↑,
65', Wesley Gasolina ↓, William Furtado ↑,
65', Rafael Elias ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
74', Rafa Silva 🟨,
76', Barreal A. ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
76', Mateus Vital ↓, Robert ↑,
79', Cavalleri M. ↓, Encinas A. ↑,
79', Hauche G. ↓, Ponce W. ↑,
85', Romero L. ↓, Ramiro ↑,

Preview

Unión La Calera is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cruzeiro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unión La Calera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cruzeiro is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division
19.04.24	Unión La Calera - Everton de Viña	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Audax Italiano - Unión La Calera	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.04.24	Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
07.04.24	Unión La Calera - OHiggins	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.24	Alianza Valledupar - Unión La Calera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLLW
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.24	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	3:0 ✺
17.04.24	Fortaleza - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.04.24	Cruzeiro - Alianza Valledupar	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
07.04.24	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWTL

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