Match Info

Date: 18 October 2021, Monday


	Uruguay Montevideo		Danubio

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	1.98
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	3.7	3	1.98
	3.87	3.09	2.01
	3.9	2.9	1.95
	3.78	3.05	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↓ (4.2)	3.02 ↓ (3.08)	1.98 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay Montevideo
24.2%

Draw
30%

Danubio
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

29.9%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

23.2%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Uruguay Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danubio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Uruguay Montevideo - Danubio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Uruguay Montevideo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Danubio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Danubio will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Uruguay Montevideo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.10.21	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1 ✺
04.10.21	Albion Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
28.09.21	Uruguay Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0 ✺
21.09.21	Villa Teresa - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
15.09.21	Uruguay Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLWWL
- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.10.21	Danubio - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
05.10.21	Villa Teresa - Danubio	0:2 ✺
28.09.21	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	2:0 ✺
21.09.21	Atenas de San Carlos - Danubio	0:2 ✺
15.09.21	Danubio - Central Español	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.07.21	Danubio - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0

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