Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht)

Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)


	Utrecht		Fortuna Sittard

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	6	Watch
	1.49	4.45	6.4
	1.5	4.9	6.01
	1.48	4.82	5.83	Watch
	1.44	4.5	5.5
	1.49	4.89	5.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.52)	4.72 ↓ (4.81)	5.95 ↑ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrecht
64%

Draw
20.1%

Fortuna Sittard
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

19.7%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

19.3%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Utrecht - Fortuna Sittard Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Utrecht (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Utrecht will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barkas V. (G) 23. Vesterlund N. 3. van der Hoorn M. (C) 44. Eerdhuijzen M. 16. El Karouani S. 27. Engwanda A. 21. Zechiel G. 11. Karlsson J. 20. de Wit D. 10. Cathline Y. 91. Haller S.	31. Branderhorst M. (G) 21. Kasanwirjo N. 6. van Ottele S. 28. Hubner J. 8. Dahlhaus J. 23. Brittijn P. 5. Oukili Y. 18. Limnios D. 70. Duijvestijn L. 7. Peterson K. 9. Sierhuis K. (C)
Substitutes
5. Adiele E. 15. Blake A. 8. Bozdogan C. 43. El Arguioui R. 51. Eppink M. (G) 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 2. Horemans S. 57. Kloosterboer P. 9. Min D. 18. Stepanov A. 53. Viereck N. 24. Viergever N.	41. Bah A. 42. Bisschops D. 40. Buyukhan G. 46. Gbemou M. 10. Halilovic A. 52. Ihattaren M. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 25. Martens N. (G) 12. Pinto I. 38. Schenkhuizen T.
Coaches
Jans R.	Buijs D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, de Wit D. ⚽, Zechiel G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hubner J. ↓, Pinto I. ↑,
46', Limnios D. ↓, Ihattaren M. ↑,
55', Oukili Y. 🟨,
63', Haller S. ↓, Min D. ↑,
64', Karlsson J. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
64', Eerdhuijzen M. ↓, Viergever N. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Min D. ⚽, Zechiel G. (A),
72', Vesterlund N. ↓, Horemans S. ↑,
79', Oukili Y. ↓, Gbemou M. ↑,
79', Brittijn P. ↓, Schenkhuizen T. ↑,
79', Sierhuis K. ↓, Halilovic A. ↑,
82', de Wit D. ↓, El Arguioui R. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 1.

Utrecht has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fortuna Sittard's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Utrecht is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 2.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Sittard	8	4	2	2	14:15	-1	14
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11:24	-13	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
10.05.26	Ajax - Utrecht	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Utrecht - NAC Breda	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Excelsior - Utrecht	5:0 ✺
11.04.26	Utrecht - Telstar	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	PSV Eindhoven - Utrecht	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWL
- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
10.05.26	Fortuna Sittard - Zwolle	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Fortuna Sittard - Feyenoord	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Heerenveen - Fortuna Sittard	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
20.09.25	Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht	1:0
18.05.25	Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht	0:0
22.12.24	Utrecht - Fortuna Sittard	2:5
11.02.24	Utrecht - Fortuna Sittard	4:0
28.10.23	Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht	0:0
03.03.23	Utrecht - Fortuna Sittard	1:2
02.09.22	Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht	3:4

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