The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varaždin 33.4%
Draw 30.2%
Rijeka 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
29.1%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
28.4%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varaždin's performance.
Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rijeka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varaždin that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rijeka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Varaždin - Rijeka Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Silic J. (G) 23. Maglica F. 13. Mladenovski M. 14. Puncec R. (C) 20. Sikosek G. 28. Canjuga I. 24. Marina M. 10. Latkovic A. 22. Mamic L. 38. Tavares I. 17. Mamut I.
99. Todorovic A. (G) 3. Zivkovic M. 45. Majstorovic A. (C) 5. Barco A. 34. Devetak M. 6. Pavic B. 26. Dantas T. 11. Rukavina G. 4. Jankovic N. 14. Gojak A. 18. Adu Adjei D.
Substitutes
3. Durakovic E. 8. Duvnjak T. 9. Juric S. 5. Lesjak S. 21. Posavec I. 30. Posinkovic L. 6. Puclin D. 4. Skaricic L. 16. Tepsic N. 11. Uchegbu E. 7. Vuk M. 1. Zelenika O. (G)
91. Bodetic N. 8. Cubelic I. 10. Fruk T. 15. Grulovic G. 51. Husic A. 77. Juric A. 7. Kabadayi Y. 1. Kovac V. (G) 23. Lasickas J. 22. Orec A. 21. Puljic J. 13. Vekic I. (G)
Coaches
Safaric N.
Kek M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Sikosek G. 🟨,
17', Puncec R. ↓, Tepsic N. ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Mamut I. ⚽, Tavares I. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Mamut I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gojak A. ↓, Puljic J. ↑,
46', Dantas T. ↓, Cubelic I. ↑,
51', Latkovic A. 🟨,
65', Zivkovic M. 🟨,
67', Rukavina G. ↓, Orec A. ↑,
67', Zivkovic M. ↓, Kabadayi Y. ↑,
75', Latkovic A. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
75', Mamut I. ↓, Skaricic L. ↑,
76', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Fruk T. ↑,
84', Tavares I. ↓, Uchegbu E. ↑,
84', Marina M. ↓, Duvnjak T. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 3.
Varaždin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Rijeka is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Varaždin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Rijeka: Barisic T.
(Knee Injury)
Morchiladze T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Rijeka: Kabadayi Y.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Varazdin
8
4
3
1
13:7
6
15
5
Rijeka
7
4
2
1
13:7
6
14
Last Results with these Odds
Rijeka - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.04%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.