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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama 31.2%
Draw 30.3%
Fluminense 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
28.7%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Vasco da Gama - Fluminense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 46. Cuesta C. 30. Robert Renan 66. Cuiabano 8. Jair (C) 3. Tche Tche 28. Adson 83. Ramon Rique 11. Gomez A. 7. David
1. Fabio (C) 23. Guga 4. Ignacio 21. Igor Rabello 13. Guilherme Arana 35. Hercules 8. Martinelli 17. Canobbio A. 32. Acosta L. 11. Savarino J. 9. John Kennedy
Substitutes
20. Brenner 88. Cauan Barros 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 18. Hinestroza M. 60. Joao Vitor 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Lucas Piton 17. Moreira N. 2. Rodriguez J. 10. Rojas J. 4. Saldivia A. 77. Spinelli C.
25. Alisson 14. Cano G. 7. Hulk 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 16. Nonato 94. Otavio 10. PH Ganso 6. Rene 28. Riquelme Felipe 2. Samuel Xavier 90. Serna K. 30. Soteldo Y.
Coaches
Emanuel P.
Zubeldia L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Acosta L. 🟨,
30', Gomez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramon Rique ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
53', Canobbio A. 🟨,
68', Canobbio A. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
69', Acosta L. ↓, Nonato ↑,
69', Savarino J. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
69', David ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
69', Jair ↓, Cauan Barros ↑,
76', Adson ↓, Moreira N. ↑,
82', John Kennedy ↓, Hulk ↑,
88', Hercules 🟨,
90', Gomez A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
90+4', Spinelli C. 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 3.
Fluminense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Fluminense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Fluminense has had a series of home games.
Fluminense might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Vasco: Mateus Carvalho
(Knee Injury)
Thiago Mendes
(Red Card)
There will not play in Fluminense: Jemmes
(Thigh Injury)
Matheus Reis
(Knee Injury)
Millan J.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Fluminense: Freytes J.
(Injury)
Guilherme Arana
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Vasco da Gama - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.57%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.