The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama 61.8%
Draw 24.5%
Náutico Capibaribe 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.5%
26.3%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
25.4%
13.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Náutico Capibaribe aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.7%
3.3%
10%
Vasco da Gama - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions
Users Predictions:
Vasco da Gama will win
(26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.51% – 98.83%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 2.
Vasco is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Náutico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Vasco have a series of guest games.
In this match Vasco is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Vasco: Gabriel Dias
(Injury)
Riquelme
(Injury)
There will not play in Náutico: Bryan
(Injury)
Hereda D.
(Injury)
Leo Passos
(Injury)
Paraiba L.
(Injury)
Last 10 head-to-head matches Vasco won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.
Watch
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