Match Info

Serie A - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Belgium	DAZN 2
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, SportyNet
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Chile	ESPN 3
China	Migu
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
India	ZEE5
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	Arena Premium 5, Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter


	Venezia		Napoli

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.73	Watch
	4.40	3.90	1.75
	4.7	3.85	1.7
	4.8	4	1.75
	4.72	3.97	1.76	Watch
	4.65	3.9	1.71
	4.84	4.17	1.76
	4.6	3.95	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (4.51)	3.94 ↓ (4.07)	1.74 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
20.5%

Draw
24.3%

Napoli
55.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.1%

23.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

23.1%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.4%	2.4%	95.1%

Venezia - Napoli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Venezia (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Napoli (1.75) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (39 of 41 users predict this - 95.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.53% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Napoli (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 20th in the Relegation - Serie B and 9th).

Venezia is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Napoli has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Venezia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Napoli for this game.

Confirmed absences for Venezia: Adorante A. (Hernia) Busio G. (Thigh Injury) Franjic B. (Shoulder Injury) Sverko M. (Hip Injury).

Confirmed absences for Napoli: Buongiorno A. (Knee Injury) David Neres (Thigh Injury) Favasuli C. (Thigh Injury) Vergara A. (Calf Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Venezia: Bella-Kotchap A. (Thigh Injury) Correia T. (Thigh Injury) Mazzocchi P. (Calf Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Napoli: Alisson Santos (Muscle Injury) Anguissa F. (Groin Injury) Olivera M. (Groin Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Napoli in today's match, at odds of 1.71.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Venezia has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:5 (averaging 0:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Venezia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Napoli	6	3	1	2	10:6	4	10
20	Venezia	6	0	0	6	5:16	-11	0

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 3.71% Venezia: 0.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
12.10.26	Atalanta - Venezia	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Venezia - Lazio	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Venezia - Fiorentina	2:4 ✺
06.09.26	Frosinone - Venezia	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Udinese - Venezia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SSC Napoli
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Villarreal - Napoli	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
10.10.26	Napoli - Frosinone	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Fiorentina - Napoli	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Napoli - Bologna	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Napoli - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
16.03.25	Venezia - Napoli	0:0
29.12.24	Napoli - Venezia	1:0
06.02.22	Venezia - Napoli	0:2
22.08.21	Napoli - Venezia	2:0

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