The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vila Nova 65.3%
Draw 22.7%
América Mineiro 11.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.5%
25.9%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
25.5%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vila Nova's performance.
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Vila Nova - América Mineiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Helton Leite (G) 22. Hayner 4. Douglas Mendes 23. Jonathan Costa 6. Higor 15. Dudu 5. Joao Vieira 17. Everton Galdino 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 99. Janderson 7. Andre Luis
91. Bruno Brigido (G) 31. Fabio 4. Rafa Barcelos 3. Sosa L. 25. Ostchega T. 55. Otavio Goncalves 8. Felipe Amaral 37. Julio Cesar 9. Willian Bigode (C) 7. Guilherme Parede 20. Paulo Victor
15. Alex Silva 71. Cristian 70. Dorna K. 5. Elizari F. 1. Gustavo (G) 13. Heitor 93. Jorge Jimenez 99. Marcelo Macola 30. Montes L. 77. Segovia M.
Coaches
Guto Ferreira
Gonzaga Leite D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Andre Luis ⚽,
32', Guilherme Parede ↓, Segovia M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Higor 🟨,
63', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Dodo ↑,
63', Julio Cesar ↓, Marcelo Macola ↑,
63', Felipe Amaral ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
63', Everton Galdino ↓, Ryan ↑,
79', Higor ↓, Igor Carius ↑,
79', Joao Vieira ↓, Willian Maranhao ↑,
82', Paulo Victor 🟨,
86', Ostchega T. ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
86', Otavio Goncalves ↓, Montes L. ↑,
86', Andre Luis ↓, Willian Formiga ↑,
88', Dodo 🟨,
90+6', Willian Formiga 🟨,
90+7', Willian Bigode 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ PlayoffsFinal) and 19th in the Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Vila Nova holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:15 (averaging 0.7:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vila Nova against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 4:5 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Vila Nova FC
32
17
7
8
44:31
13
58
19
America MG
32
4
5
23
21:53
-32
17
Last Results with these Odds
Vila Nova - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.5%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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Sosa L. 
Jorge Jimenez 
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