Match Info

LaLiga - Round 9

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Villarreal		Elche

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.25	6.25	Watch
	1.42	5.25	6.25
	1.39	5.1	6.8
	1.43	5.4	6.8
	1.44	5	6.3	Watch
	1.41	5.3	6.65
	1.46	5.24	7.19	Watch
	1.4	5.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	5.24 ↑ (5)	6.61 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
67.3%

Draw
18.2%

Elche
14.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.1%

19%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

18.9%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Villarreal - Elche Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Villarreal (1.44) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 11th and 18th in the Relegation - LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Villarreal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Villarreal holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for Villarreal: Buchanan T. (Muscle Injury) Pepe N. (Eye injury).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:20 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Villarreal against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:8 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Villarreal	8	2	2	4	13:13	0	8
18	Elche	8	1	3	4	11:17	-6	6

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Villarreal: 0.46% Elche: 0.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Villarreal - Napoli	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.10.26	Real Madrid - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Villarreal - Levante	3:1 ✺
17.09.26	Málaga - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
14.09.26	Villarreal - Betis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWL
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
11.10.26	Elche - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
18.09.26	Espanyol - Elche	1:3 ✺
15.09.26	Elche - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Athletic Bilbao - Elche	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Elche - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
08.03.26	Villarreal - Elche	2:1
03.01.26	Elche - Villarreal	1:3
04.02.23	Elche - Villarreal	3:1
04.09.22	Villarreal - Elche	4:0
16.01.22	Elche - Villarreal	1:0
22.09.21	Villarreal - Elche	4:1
06.02.21	Elche - Villarreal	2:2

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